- The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Mariners starting pitcher: Luis Castillo
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Friday, July 14, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+115).
The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 39-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-46 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -140 | O 7 -115 | +150 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +115 | U 7 -105 | -185 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 75.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+7.40 Units / 32% ROI)
- Eduardo Rodriguez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 64% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 17 away games (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+11.05 Units / 51% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+8.80 Units / 110% ROI)
- AJ Pollock has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 11 games at home (+8.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Ty France has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 24 games at home (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games at home (+8.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +125 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -450 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| AJ Pollock | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 6.5 +115 | 6.5 -150 |
| Luis Castillo | 7.5 +100 | 7.5 -130 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 66 games (+11.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 41 away games (+8.40 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 41 away games (+7.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 78 games (+7.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.80 Units / 59% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+12.25 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 16 games at home (+4.75 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 39 games at home (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 47-42 against the Run Line (-0.65 Units / -0.59% ROI).
- 39-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.4 Units / 2.52% ROI
- 48-38 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.85 Units / 5.91% ROI
- 38-48 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -14.6% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 43-46 against the Run Line (-7.25 Units / -6.17% ROI).
- 45-44 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.2 Units / -8.78% ROI
- 44-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.65 Units / -3.68% ROI
- 43-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -5 Units / -5.15% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .118 (6 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .397 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .229 (22 Total Bases / 96 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .435 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an OPS of just .477 (105 PA’s) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 35 total IP; League Avg: .763 — 99th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.8 MPH on changeups since last season (106 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 100 total IP; League Avg: 86.5
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .109 (11-for-101) against Luis Castillo’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .223 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting just .184 (38-for-206) against Luis Castillo this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 98th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has allowed an OBP of just .236 (220 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .294 — 100th Percentile.
Luis Castillo has a strikeout rate of 41% (46 SO in 113 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 30-3 (.909) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Tigers are just 17-101 (.144) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 101-128 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Tigers are 15-5 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Mariners are 62-9 (.873) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are just 4-26 (.133) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Mariners are 8-103 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .048.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,933 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (6,933 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (11,164 PA’s) against RHP since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,558 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .112 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .283 (396 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
The Mariners are batting just .121 on pitches out of the zone since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .173 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .214.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 252 of 3,359 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.97 (233.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 228 of 3,284 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 152 of 2,256 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Bryce Miller (Mariners): Finger, D15
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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