- The Mariners are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-175) on Sunday, July 16, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 41-50 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 43-48 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 8 -115 | +145 |
| Mariners | -1.5 +120 | U 8 -105 | -175 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 74.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+12.25 Units / 36% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+11.60 Units / 41% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+11.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 11 of his last 13 games (+8.70 Units / 54% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+9.60 Units / 26% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 12 games at home (+9.40 Units / 38% ROI)
- George Kirby has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+8.95 Units / 36% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 24 games at home (+8.30 Units / 34% ROI)
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +125 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Miller | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Reese Olson | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 25 games (+11.50 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 68 games (+11.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 43 away games (+10.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 80 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 43 away games (+9.35 Units / 17% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 43 games at home (+12.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+4.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Over in 24 of their last 41 games at home (+4.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+3.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 5 of their last 8 games (+1.60 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 49-42 against the Run Line (+1.35 Units / 1.2% ROI).
- 41-50 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 5.87% ROI
- 49-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.8 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 39-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.2 Units / -14.32% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 43-48 against the Run Line (-9.25 Units / -7.73% ROI).
- 45-46 when betting on the Moneyline for -15 Units / -11.42% ROI
- 45-44 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.7 Units / -3.65% ROI
- 44-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.05 Units / -5.09% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Reese Olson has not allowed a walk in his last 72 PAs against a RHH dating back to June 2nd — Austin Gomber has the longest active streak at 100.
Hitters have swung at 46% of Reese Olson’s pitches (10/22) with two-strikes — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — seventh Percentile.
Reese Olson has not walked any of the 46 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has allowed an OBP of just .244 (78 PA’s) over the last 30 days (5 games) — 9th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 94th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryce Miller has allowed an OBP of just .251 (231 PA’s) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: .314 — 99th Percentile.
Bryce Miller has an average spin rate of 2608.0 RPM on fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 2244.9 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% (26/72) against Bryce Miller in two-strike counts this season — 15th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 44% — 12th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 85 of Bryce Miller’s 188 elevated fastballs out of the zone (45%) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 36 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are just 17-101 (.144) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 18-69 (.207) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 62-9 (.873) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Mariners are 109-3 (.973) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .952.
The Mariners are just 3-20 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Mariners are 29-3 (.906) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,993 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (6,993 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (421 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .354 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .167 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Mariners are batting just .221 at home since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Mariners are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .342.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .286 (406 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 262 of 3,431 batters (8%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers have won just 27% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 21% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 232 of 3,357 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have a strike rate of 67% this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Mariners pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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