- The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (1-0), 3.29 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (8-4), 3.21 ERA
- Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.
The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).
The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 65-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-76 ATS.
Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -105 | O 7 -110 | +200 |
| Mariners | -1.5 -115 | U 7 -110 | -250 |
Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
- Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)
Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +800 | 0.5 -3000 |
Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +120 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Frazier | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
| Cal Raleigh | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -175 |
| Carlos Santana | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
| Eugenio Suarez | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -190 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -350 |
Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| George Kirby | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 -105 |
| Bryan Garcia | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -130 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+21.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+12.60 Units / 70% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 104 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Mariners: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+20.55 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 90 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 76-82 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -8.75% ROI).
- 65-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -3.94% ROI
- 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.97% ROI
- 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.57% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-76 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -2.57% ROI).
- 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 1.8% ROI
- 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.84% ROI
- 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI
Bryan Garcia: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .329 (52-for-158) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.
George Kirby has allowed a .477 SLG vs right-handed batters (15th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .306 vs left-handed batters this season (10th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (63 GB hits out of 168 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .318 (76-for-239) against George Kirby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Tigers are 13-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Tigers are just 6-65 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.
The Tigers are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.
The Tigers are just 63-83 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Mariners are 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.
The Mariners are 38-6 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Mariners are 66-2 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .883.
The Mariners are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,249 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (4,249 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,480 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have drawn 94 walks in 1,463 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 30 of 242 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Mariners pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
- Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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