Tigers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 3

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 03, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Bryan Garcia (1-0), 3.29 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby (8-4), 3.21 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-250) on Monday, October 3, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-115).

The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 65-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-76 ATS.

Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -105O 7 -110+200
Mariners -1.5 -115U 7 -110-250

Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Monday‘s matchup with 61.8% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +950 0.5 -10000
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +270 0.5 -450
Carlos Santana 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +800 0.5 -3000

Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Cal Raleigh 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Carlos Santana 0.5 -155 0.5 +110
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -165 0.5 +120
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -225 0.5 +150

Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Adam Frazier 0.5 +210 0.5 -350
Cal Raleigh 0.5 +120 0.5 -175
Carlos Santana 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +130 0.5 -190
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +210 0.5 -350

Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
George Kirby 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
Bryan Garcia 3.5 -110 3.5 -130
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 155 games (+21.20 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 away games (+12.60 Units / 70% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.75 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 53 away games (+9.10 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 55 of their last 104 games (+8.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 59 games at home (+20.55 Units / 31% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 58 of their last 90 games (+13.95 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 56 games at home (+12.30 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 49 games (+6.50 Units / 11% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 76-82 against the Run Line (-17.5 Units / -8.75% ROI).

  • 65-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.55 Units / -3.94% ROI
  • 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.97% ROI
  • 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.57% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-76 against the Run Line (-5.35 Units / -2.57% ROI).

  • 87-71 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.75 Units / 1.8% ROI
  • 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.84% ROI
  • 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI

No Matchup notes for this Game

George Kirby: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents are hitting .329 (52-for-158) against George Kirby’s curve and slider this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 0 Percentile.

George Kirby has allowed a .477 SLG vs right-handed batters (15th worst)– 11th Percentile and just .306 vs left-handed batters this season (10th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of .375 (63 GB hits out of 168 GBs) against George Kirby this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .232 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed batters are hitting .318 (76-for-239) against George Kirby this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .250 — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Tigers are 13-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 6-65 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Tigers are just 7-31 (.184) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .292.

The Tigers are just 63-83 (.432) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mariners are 7-64 (.099) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .084.

The Mariners are 38-6 (.864) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Mariners are 66-2 (.971) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .883.

The Mariners are 13-11 (.542) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,249 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (4,249 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,480 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have drawn 94 walks in 1,463 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 30 of 242 batters (12%) over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

Mariners pitchers have won 33% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since the start of last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.