Tigers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 4

Seattle Mariners designated hitter Mitch Haniger, left, follows through on a home run against the Cleveland Guardians during the first inning of a spring training baseball game Sunday, Feb. 25, 2024, in Peoria, Ariz. (AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
(AP Photo/Lindsey Wasson)
  • The Mariners are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Mariners TV Channel: FS1

The Detroit Tigers (150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-185) on Saturday, October 4, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 8:38pm EDT in Seattle, WA.

This season, the Tigers are 89-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 69-90 ATS.

Tigers vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Troy Melton 3-3, 3.58 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: George Kirby 10-8, 4.22 ERA

Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 7 -118150
Mariners -1.5 118U 7 -102-185

Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 65.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+14.50 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+11.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 away games (+11.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.70 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 away games (+9.20 Units / 85% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.40 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+15.85 Units / 63% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+12.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Cal Raleigh has hit the RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+9.95 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.90 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 91 of their last 165 games (+13.25 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 74 of their last 137 games (+11.70 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 19 games (+9.85 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 16 away games (+5.05 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 18 away games (+4.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 85 of their last 150 games (+18.15 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 48 games at home (+18.00 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 22 of their last 39 games at home (+9.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+8.45 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+7.95 Units / 33% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 75-89 against the Run Line (-21.7 Units / -10.58% ROI).

  • 89-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -4.2% ROI
  • 84-73 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 2.43% ROI
  • 73-84 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.25 Units / -10.55% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 69-90 against the Run Line (-20.4 Units / -10.64% ROI).

  • 90-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +2 Units / 0.88% ROI
  • 88-68 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.45 Units / 7.56% ROI
  • 68-88 when betting on the total runs Under for -28.87 Units / -16.16% ROI

Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +240 0.5 -300
Eugenio Suarez (SEA) 0.5 +375 0.5 -500
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +425 0.5 -625
Riley Greene (DET) 0.5 +500 0.5 -700
Kerry Carpenter (DET) 0.5 +525 0.5 -750

Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres (DET) 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Josh Naylor (SEA) 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140
Randy Arozarena (SEA) 0.5 -175 0.5 +130
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 -175 0.5 +135

Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Raleigh (SEA) 0.5 +135 0.5 -185
Julio Rodriguez (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Josh Naylor (SEA) 0.5 +165 0.5 -220
Jorge Polanco (SEA) 0.5 +175 0.5 -235
Eugenio Suarez (SEA) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250

Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Troy Melton (DET) 2.5 -155 2.5 +120
George Kirby (SEA) 6.5 -110 6.5 -120

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Tigers are batting .265 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Mariners hitters are slugging .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Tigers are batting .265 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

Mariners hitters are slugging .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Tigers are batting .265 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters are slugging .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging .439 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .393.

The Tigers are batting .265 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

Mariners hitters are slugging .712 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.

The Mariners batted just .207 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2024 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .263.

Mariners hitters are slugging .444 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Mariners hitters have an OPS of .776 (3,230 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .709.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.