Tigers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (87-72) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (66-93)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 66-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-77 ATS.

Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -160O 7.5 -120+135
Mariners -1.5 +135U 7.5 +100-160

Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Ty France 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Eric Haase 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Mitch Haniger 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Ty France 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Eric Haase 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Ty France 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eric Haase 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 3.5 -125 3.5 -110
Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 77-82 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -8.18% ROI).

  • 66-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.6% ROI
  • 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.85% ROI
  • 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.49% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-77 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -3.15% ROI).

  • 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.55% ROI
  • 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Hitters have swung at 38% of Eduardo Rodriguez’s pitches (19/50) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (30/45) against Eduardo Rodriguez — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (111/637) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Chris Flexen curveball was July 13rd. Hitters are 0 for their last 29 in ABs ending on his curveball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents are hitting .310 (86-for-277) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .184 — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 27.2.

Opponents are hitting just .071 (1-for-14) against Chris Flexen — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Tigers are 13-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 6-65 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Tigers are just 16-43 (.271) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mariners are 67-1 (.985) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 44-37 (.543) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Mariners are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mariners are 38-11 (.776) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (4,278 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,278 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .634 (2,893 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Tigers pitchers have walked 128 of 1,398 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.4 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Groin, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.