Tigers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 4

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 04, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (87-72) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (66-93)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: (-), ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-160) on Tuesday, October 4, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 66-93 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 82-77 ATS.

Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -160O 7.5 -120+135
Mariners -1.5 +135U 7.5 +100-160

Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)

Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Ty France 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Eric Haase 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -185 0.5 +125
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 -200 0.5 +135
Mitch Haniger 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Ty France 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Eric Haase 0.5 -175 0.5 +125

Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
Eugenio Suarez 0.5 +145 0.5 -200
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
Ty France 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Eric Haase 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Chris Flexen 3.5 -125 3.5 -110
Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 -105 4.5 -135
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 42 games (+6.80 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 50 games (+5.50 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 77-82 against the Run Line (-16.45 Units / -8.18% ROI).

  • 66-93 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.35 Units / -2.6% ROI
  • 60-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.2 Units / -18.85% ROI
  • 85-60 when betting on the total runs Under for +20.05 Units / 11.49% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 82-77 against the Run Line (-6.6 Units / -3.15% ROI).

  • 87-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.15 Units / 0.55% ROI
  • 72-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.6 Units / -7.79% ROI
  • 79-72 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.45 Units / 0.26% ROI

The average home run distance against Eduardo Rodriguez against right-handed batters since the start of last season is 381.8 feet — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: 399.1

Hitters have swung at 38% of Eduardo Rodriguez’s pitches (19/50) with two-strikes — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 60% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 67% (30/45) against Eduardo Rodriguez — tied for 3rd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 98th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (111/637) against Eduardo Rodriguez this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.

: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

The last hit on a Chris Flexen curveball was July 13rd. Hitters are 0 for their last 29 in ABs ending on his curveball. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Opponents are hitting .310 (86-for-277) against Chris Flexen’s low curves and sliders since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 160 total IP; League Avg: .184 — first Percentile.

Chris Flexen has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 10.1 innings pitched — Cristian Javier has the longest active streak at 27.2.

Opponents are hitting just .071 (1-for-14) against Chris Flexen — tied for 10th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 96th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Tigers are 13-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Tigers are just 6-65 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Tigers are just 16-43 (.271) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Tigers are just 35-46 (.432) at home this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mariners are 67-1 (.985) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 44-37 (.543) on the road this season — tied for 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Mariners are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

The Mariners are 38-11 (.776) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .707.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .278 (4,278 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,893 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,278 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .634 (2,893 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .717.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .164 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .168 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .217 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Tigers pitchers have walked 128 of 1,398 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.4 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Neck, Day-to-Day
  • Luis Torrens (Mariners): Undisclosed, Day-to-Day
  • Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Groin, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.