Tigers vs Mariners Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Oct 5

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Oct 05, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Mariners (89-72) are -150 favorites vs the Tigers (66-95)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (4-11), 4.72 ERA
  • Mariners starting pitcher: Marco Gonzales (10-15), 4.14 ERA
  • Watch the game on ROOT Sports NW

The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (-150) on Wednesday, October 5, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Seattle.

The Mariners are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).

The Tigers vs Mariners Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 66-95 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 83-78 ATS.

Tigers vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -165O 7.5 -115+125
Mariners -1.5 +135U 7.5 -105-150

Tigers vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 65.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Mariners and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Mariners vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+13.90 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+11.85 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+10.20 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+10.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 away games (+9.85 Units / 18% ROI)

Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+13.10 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Strikeouts Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+10.05 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Luis Castillo has hit the Pitching Outs Under in his last 9 games (+9.50 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Jesse Winker has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 27 games at home (+9.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.90 Units / 40% ROI)

Mariners vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Curt Casali 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +320 0.5 -550

Mariners vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Curt Casali 0.5 -120 0.5 -115
J.P. Crawford 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
Julio Rodriguez 1.5 +190 1.5 -275
Mitch Haniger 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Mariners vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carlos Santana 0.5 +135 0.5 -200
Curt Casali 0.5 +220 0.5 -350
J.P. Crawford 0.5 +260 0.5 -400
Julio Rodriguez 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Mitch Haniger 0.5 +130 0.5 -185

Mariners vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marco Gonzales 4.5 -125 4.5 -115
Tyler Alexander 3.5 -135 3.5 -105
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 78-83 against the Run Line (-16.85 Units / -8.26% ROI).

  • 66-95 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.35 Units / -3.75% ROI
  • 62-85 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.2 Units / -17.48% ROI
  • 85-62 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.05 Units / 10.23% ROI

Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 83-78 against the Run Line (-6.4 Units / -3.03% ROI).

  • 89-72 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.15 Units / 1.47% ROI
  • 74-79 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.6 Units / -6.56% ROI
  • 79-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.55 Units / -0.87% ROI

Opponents are hitting .369 (48-for-130) against Tyler Alexander versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: .257 — 0 Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 34% (143 SO in 421 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has struck out just 13% (40/302) of right-handed batters he faced this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has a strikeout rate of just 14% (56 SO in 402 PAs) this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 80 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.

Marco Gonzales: Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Marco Gonzales has allowed a slugging percentage of .736 (64 Total Bases / 87 ABs) on low fastballs since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: .424 — 0 Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 19% (207/1,099) against Marco Gonzales this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — fourth Percentile.

Marco Gonzales has a strikeout rate of just 13% (98 SO in 752 PAs) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 15% (79/516) against Marco Gonzales this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners

The Tigers are just 6-67 (.082) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .196.

The Tigers are just 64-85 (.430) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.

The Tigers are just 4-7 (.364) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 31-49 (.388) on the road this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.

Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mariners are 40-6 (.870) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.

The Mariners are 68-1 (.986) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Mariners are 45-10 (.818) when scoring in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .664.

The Mariners are 18-2 (.900) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .804.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,563 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .608 (4,332 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,332 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .166 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

Mariners hitters are slugging just .169 on pitches out of the zone since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .210.

The Mariners are batting just .218 at home since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.

The Mariners are batting just .127 on pitches out of the zone since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .153.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 62% of their games since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Mariners pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Mariners pitchers since the start of 2020 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.

The average home run distance against the Mariners pitchers since the start of last season is 395.5 feet — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 399.3

Mariners vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Julio Rodríguez (Mariners): Back, D10
  • Casey Sadler (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
  • Ryan Borucki (Mariners): Forearm, D15
  • Jesse Winker (Mariners): Neck, D10
  • Samuel Haggerty (Mariners): Groin, D10
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Joe Jiménez (Tigers): Back, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Willi Castro (Tigers): Hamstring, D10
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Back, D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.