• The Mets are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
• Tigers vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
• Tigers / Mets TV Channel: DSN | SNY

The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-150) on May 12, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Flushing, NY.

This season, the Tigers are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 14-26 ATS.

Tigers vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-3, 5.56 ERA
• Mets starting pitcher: Freddy Peralta 2-3, 3.12 ERA

Tigers vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Mets and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+14.70 Units / 47% ROI)
• Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 27% ROI)
• Zach McKinstry has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.00 Units / 29% ROI)
• Kevin McGonigle has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 20 away games (+9.55 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Tyrone Taylor has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 31% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games at home (+12.45 Units / 36% ROI)
• Juan Soto has hit the RBIs Over in 14 of his last 25 games at home (+12.35 Units / 49% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 54% ROI)
• Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+10.40 Units / 30% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.50 Units / 26% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+5.75 Units / 15% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+4.85 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 10 games (+1.70 Units / 12% ROI)

Mets Best Bets Today:

• The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.95 Units / 35% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 31 of their last 45 games (+16.15 Units / 29% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 games (+9.00 Units / 16% ROI)
• The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.70 Units / 24% ROI)
• The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+0.95 Units / 6% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 18-20 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -4.05% ROI).

• 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.6 Units / -12.85% ROI
• 19-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -6.73% ROI
• 20-19 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.75 Units / -1.67% ROI

Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Mets are 14-26 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -24.63% ROI).

• 15-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.4 Units / -37.78% ROI
• 14-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -26.22% ROI
• 23-14 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.25 Units / 16.5% ROI

Mets vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Mets vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Mets

The Tigers are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .374.

The Tigers are just 7-16 (.304) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.

The Tigers are just 13-3 (.812) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are 9-2 (.818) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .626.

Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Mets are just 0-7 (.000) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season Today, they face Tigers (ninth in runs allowed).

The Mets are just 14-22 (.389) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.

The Mets are just 7-17 (.292) after a loss this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Mets are just 9-4 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .860.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have 33 extra-base hits out of 80 total hits (41%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 19% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Mets Hitting Stats & Trends

Mets hitters have an OPS of just .402 (731 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

The Mets are batting just .168 with two outs this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters have an OBP of just .203 (731 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Mets hitters are slugging just .199 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Tigers pitchers have allowed 34 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 64% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers are throwing just 3.84 pitches per plate appearance this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into 33 double plays in 303 opportunities (11%) this season — 5th best in MLB.

Mets Pitching Stats & Trends

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB.

Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — 2nd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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