- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Tigers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Tigers / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (-160) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+135) on Tuesday, July 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Tigers are 53-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-41 ATS.
Tigers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 5-9, 4.83 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 3-9, 5.63 ERA
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +100 | O 9.5 -120 | -160 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -120 | U 9.5 +100 | +135 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 59.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.40 Units / 53% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+9.70 Units / 108% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+18.78 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+16.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.87 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 47-38 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 4.96% ROI).
- 53-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -7.67% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 43-41 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -4.45% ROI).
- 35-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.97 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.35% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -2.98% ROI
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +160 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -130 | 5.5 +100 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (355/701) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (37 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (226/353) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 62% of the time (615/988) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Trevor Williams has thrown his changeup for a strike just 37% (64/173) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 59% — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his changeup in the zone just 14% (24/173) of the time this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .373 (66-for-177) against Trevor Williams this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .246 — first Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown low pitches 60% of the time (212/354) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 32-2 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 45-10 (.818) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .702.
The Tigers are 71-6 (.922) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 6-19 (.231) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Nationals are just 33-44 (.423) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 31-113 (.215) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .283.
The Nationals are just 13-20 (.382) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of 1.049 (142 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
Tigers hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .382.
The Tigers are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .800 (893 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters slugged just .488 on the first pitch of at-bats in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
Nationals hitters have put 39% of their swings in play against LHP this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters had an OPS of just .658 (1,796 PA’s) against LHP in the 2024 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.84 (215.1 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Nationals have allowed 1.99 runs per game (167/84) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.00 (741.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (220.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
More MLB Reading:
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