- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Nationals
- Tigers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (-150) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+125) on Wednesday, July 2, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 1:05pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Tigers are 53-32 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 43-41 ATS.
Tigers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Holton 3-3, 4.34 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 3-9, 5.63 ERA
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +115 | O 9 -102 | -150 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | U 9 -118 | +125 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 61.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games (+14.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 away games (+8.85 Units / 111% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 27% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 20 games (+8.45 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+11.35 Units / 50% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games at home (+11.00 Units / 157% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.85 Units / 24% ROI)
- MacKenzie Gore has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.70 Units / 33% ROI)
- James Wood has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.40 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 52 of their last 85 games (+18.78 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 53 of their last 82 games (+16.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 84 games (+13.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 50 of their last 85 games (+9.95 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 19 of their last 29 away games (+9.00 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 21 games at home (+12.50 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 58 games (+10.87 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 20 games at home (+9.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.15 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 46% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 47-38 against the Run Line (+5.4 Units / 4.96% ROI).
- 53-32 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.15 Units / 10.22% ROI
- 42-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.25 Units / -0.27% ROI
- 39-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.25 Units / -7.67% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 43-41 against the Run Line (-4.8 Units / -4.45% ROI).
- 35-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.97 Units / -7.7% ROI
- 40-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.95 Units / -5.35% ROI
- 41-40 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.75 Units / -2.98% ROI
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WAS) | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +110 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has allowed a slugging percentage of .673 (37 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .349 — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (226/353) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 38% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown breaking pitches 51% of the time (355/701) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 64% of the time (448/701) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .571 (12 GB hits out of 21 GBs) against MacKenzie Gore with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has walked 17% of batters when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — 2nd highest among NL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .387 (36 GB hits out of 93 GBs) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% (276/837) against MacKenzie Gore this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 97th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 32-2 (.941) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Tigers are 22-4 (.846) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .631.
The Tigers are 53-32 (.624) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 33-44 (.423) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Nationals are just 5-11 (.312) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Tigers (Ranks sixth runs allowed) today.
The Nationals are just 15-24 (.375) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .547.
The Nationals are just 103-120 (.460) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .275 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of 1.011 (132 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .800 (893 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Tigers hitters are slugging .459 against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 40% at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Nationals hitters are slugging .237 on pitches out of the zone this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .201.
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters have a groundball batting average of just .222 this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.49 (756.1 IP) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.06.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.99 runs per game (167/84) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Nationals pitchers have an ERA of 5.81 (220.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.10.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .398 (98 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
More MLB Reading:
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