- The Tigers are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Tigers vs Nationals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Tigers / Nationals TV Channel: MASN | FDDT
The Detroit Tigers (-145) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Thursday, July 3, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, D.C., DC.
This season, the Tigers are 54-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 44-42 ATS.
Tigers vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Dietrich Enns 1-0, 0.00 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 6-3, 4.78 ERA
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +118 | O 9.5 -118 | -145 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 -102 | +120 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 58.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 away games (+12.40 Units / 124% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 25 away games (+8.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Over in 8 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 88% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 away games (+8.35 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- CJ Abrams has hit the RBIs Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+12.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 8 games at home (+10.00 Units / 125% ROI)
- Riley Adams has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 53 of their last 87 games (+18.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 84 games (+16.05 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 48 of their last 86 games (+13.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 52 of their last 87 games (+11.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 31 away games (+11.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Team Total Under in 18 of their last 23 games at home (+12.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 36 of their last 60 games (+11.07 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+3.90 Units / 36% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 48-39 against the Run Line (+5.5 Units / 4.96% ROI).
- 54-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 9.94% ROI
- 44-39 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.84% ROI
- 39-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.4 Units / -9.72% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 44-42 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -4.61% ROI).
- 36-50 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.97 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 42-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -3.11% ROI
- 41-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.9 Units / -5.19% ROI
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -550 |
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -625 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| James Wood (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +180 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Nathaniel Lowe (WAS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Amed Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dietrich Enns (DET) | 3.5 -155 | 3.5 +120 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dietrich Enns has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.0 innings pitched — Edwin Diaz has the longest active streak at 20.1.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown 57% of his pitches in the strike zone (898/1,564) this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 51% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .554 (98 Total Bases / 177 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — first Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown 60% of his pitches in the strike zone (181/299) with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (533/1,564) this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 16% — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 72-6 (.923) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .749.
The Tigers are 33-2 (.943) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 54-33 (.621) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 34-44 (.430) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 6-20 (.222) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Nationals are just 6-12 (.333) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams this season They play the Tigers (Ranks sixth runs allowed) today.
The Nationals are just 13-21 (.371) after a win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting .272 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of .792 (920 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters are slugging .452 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .381.
Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have put just 32% of balls in play to the left side of the field this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 19% of their PA’s against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have struck out in just 20% of their PA’s against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 41%.
Tigers pitchers have won 41% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Nationals have allowed 1.97 runs per game (169/86) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.33.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Avg of 44% against the Nationals pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Nationals have won just 18% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
More MLB Reading:
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