- The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Nationals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Boyd
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jacob Irvin
- Watch the game on MASN
The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-110) on Friday, May 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Washington.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Tigers vs Nationals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 19-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 28-16 ATS.
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | O 8.5 -105 | -110 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -175 | U 8.5 -115 | -110 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+13.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.80 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+9.65 Units / 76% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+15.95 Units / 75% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+8.85 Units / 49% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+8.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +120 |
| Riley Greene | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Dominic Smith | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matthew Boyd | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
| Jake Irvin | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 31 games (+10.30 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 7 of their last 9 away games (+4.75 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 9 of their last 14 away games (+4.70 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 38 games (+14.20 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 26 games (+8.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 33 games (+5.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 23-18 against the Run Line (+2.5 Units / 5.01% ROI).
- 19-22 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 16.33% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.1 Units / -4.59% ROI
- 20-20 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -3.7% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 28-16 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 18.4% ROI).
- 18-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 7.5% ROI
- 18-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.15 Units / -12.71% ROI
- 22-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 4.95% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 7% (2/27) against Matthew Boyd on inside fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 46% (26/56) against Matthew Boyd on changeups this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 37% (19/51) against Matthew Boyd on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 27% — 94th Percentile.
Matthew Boyd has walked 1 of 33 batters (3%) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 9% — 91st Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has not allowed a home run in any of the last 15.1 innings he’s appeared — Sonny Gray has the longest active streak at 51.0.
Hitters have swung at 38% of Jake Irvin’s pitches (101/263) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Jake Irvin has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to May 3rd — John Brebbia has the longest active streak at 13.
Jake Irvin has a strike rate of just 59% (155/263) over the last 30 days (3 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 10-1 (.909) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .610.
The Tigers are just 43-73 (.371) after a loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .725.
The Tigers are just 22-39 (.361) after a road loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .448.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 3-5 (.375) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
The Nationals are just 23-42 (.354) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
The Nationals are just 34-69 (.330) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .613 (5,537 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,537 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .440 (4,002 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .507.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have just 84 strikeouts in 501 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have 99 extra-base hits out of 387 total hits (just 26%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have 61 extra-base hits out of 255 total hits (just 24%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters are slugging just .345 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 117 of 1,541 batters (8%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 1.70 (53.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Chad Kuhl (Nationals): Foot, D15
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
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