- The Nationals are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Nationals starting pitcher: Josiah Gray
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (-135) on Sunday, May 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Washington.
The Nationals are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+150).
The Tigers vs Nationals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 20-23 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 29-17 ATS.
Tigers vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -185 | O 9 -135 | +110 |
| Nationals | -1.5 +150 | U 9 +110 | -135 |
Tigers vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Nationals will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Nationals and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+10.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+9.80 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 away games (+9.70 Units / 88% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+13.95 Units / 60% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+10.85 Units / 53% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.30 Units / 29% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.85 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alex Call has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+9.15 Units / 23% ROI)
Nationals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Nationals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Joey Meneses | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
Nationals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Joey Meneses | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alex Call | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
| Josiah Gray | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 games (+11.45 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 10 of their last 16 away games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 away games (+4.60 Units / 34% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 40 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 28 games (+8.15 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 20 of their last 35 games (+5.80 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 3 of their last 5 games (+0.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 24-19 against the Run Line (+2.2 Units / 4.17% ROI).
- 20-23 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 15.53% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 21-21 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.65 Units / -3.54% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Nationals have gone 29-17 against the Run Line (+10.05 Units / 17.46% ROI).
- 19-27 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.25 Units / 7.03% ROI
- 19-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.25 Units / -12.33% ROI
- 23-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.4 Units / 4.74% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .739 (17 Total Bases / 23 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .399 — second Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 59% (116/197) in two strike counts this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 65% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (32/112) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 39% — first Percentile.
Joey Wentz has a strikeout rate of just 12% (4 SO in 34 PAs) with runners in scoring position this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 22% — eighth Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
10 of Josiah Gray’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — 3rd most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 97th Percentile.
10 of Josiah Gray’s 33 breaking pitch strikeouts (30%) have been backdoor this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 13% — 95th Percentile.
Josiah Gray has a strike rate of just 58% (925/1,606) vs left-handed batters since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 35% (25/71) against Josiah Gray on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 92nd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Tigers are just 21-34 (.382) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Tigers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are just 24-43 (.358) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .578.
The Nationals are just 17-2 (.895) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Nationals are just 3-5 (.375) after a win as favorites since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .599.
The Nationals are just 11-21 (.344) after a home win since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .540.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .280 (5,590 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .605 (2,350 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (5,590 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Nationals have a winning percentage of just 33% at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Nationals hitters have 67 extra-base hits out of 265 total hits (just 25%) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Nationals hitters have drawn 80 walks in 1,191 PA’s (7%) against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Nationals are batting .260 on the road since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 160 of 1,811 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 1.70 (53.0 IP) against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.24.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have struck out just 17% of left-handed batters they faced this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Nationals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Steven Cavalli (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Victor Robles (Nationals): Back, D10
- VÃctor Arano (Nationals): Shoulder, D60
- Israel Pineda (Nationals): Finger, D10
- Tanner Rainey (Nationals): Elbow, D60
- Stephen Strasburg (Nationals): Ribs/Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
Bet now on Tigers vs Nationals and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.
