- The Orioles are -175 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Orioles starting pitcher: Tyler Wells
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (+145) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-175) on Friday, April 21, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 7-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-8 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 9 -120 | +145 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 9 +100 | -175 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+7.95 Units / 67% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+7.65 Units / 34% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+7.05 Units / 60% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 9 of his last 14 games (+7.05 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.75 Units / 44% ROI)
- Adley Rutschman has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+6.25 Units / 31% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+6.05 Units / 45% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +195 | 1.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Wells | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games (+5.80 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 away games (+5.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.90 Units / 38% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.50 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+4.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 18 games (+2.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.45 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 9-8 against the Run Line (-0.55 Units / -2.63% ROI).
- 7-10 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 7.06% ROI
- 9-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 1.33% ROI
- 8-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.8 Units / -9.68% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.3 Units / 1.25% ROI).
- 11-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.55 Units / 15.11% ROI
- 11-6 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.35 Units / 21.43% ROI
- 6-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.65 Units / -28.97% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has a strike rate of just 62% (244/393) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 69% — second Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has at least 6 strikeouts in each of his last five games — tied with Julio Urias and Pablo Lopez for the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 46 of 433 batters (11%) since last season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 7% — sixth Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 20% (58/292) against Michael Lorenzen since last season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 94th Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .177 (11-for-62) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (22/153) against Tyler Wells since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 71 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .180 (16-for-89) against Tyler Wells on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: .340 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (30/200) against Tyler Wells since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 136 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 9-39 (.188) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
The Tigers are just 9-74 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
The Tigers are just 11-50 (.180) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .270.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .805.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 39-12 (.765) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Orioles are just 13-26 (.333) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 38-41 (.481) when moneyline underdogs of less than +150 since the 2022 season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Orioles are 12-10 (.545) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .611 (4,848 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .262 (332 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .323.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .551 (132 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .733.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .581 (332 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have 477 strikeouts in 1,916 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Orioles hitters are slugging .468 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Orioles are batting just .227 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Orioles hitters have drawn 29 walks in 206 PA’s (14%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 145 of 1,580 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .091 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 11 of 161 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Jorge Mateo (Orioles): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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