- The Orioles are -185 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Orioles starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson
- Watch the game on Fox Sports 1
The Detroit Tigers (+150) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-185) on Saturday, April 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 7-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 10-9 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -110 | +150 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -110 | -185 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Saturday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 7 games (+8.95 Units / 62% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 63% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.05 Units / 45% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Hits Over in 8 of his last 10 games (+6.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 6 games (+6.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.15 Units / 30% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -700 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -300 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
| Kyle Gibson | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 +100 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in their last 8 games (+8.25 Units / 81% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 games (+6.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 away games (+6.25 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 7 games (+4.80 Units / 69% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+3.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 16 games (+5.50 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 19 games (+1.45 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games at home (+0.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 3 of their last 6 games (+0.35 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 10-8 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 2.03% ROI).
- 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 1.11% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -3.78% ROI
- 9-9 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.8 Units / -4.04% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 10-9 against the Run Line (-0.7 Units / -2.81% ROI).
- 12-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.55 Units / 17.84% ROI
- 11-7 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.35 Units / 15.73% ROI
- 7-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -22.46% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has a strike rate of just 55% (30/55) with runners in scoring position this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 29% (14/49) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.
Opponents had a chase percentage of just 29% (14/49) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes over the last 30 days of the regular season (3 games) — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 40% — fifth Percentile.
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has allowed an OPS of .862 (43 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .504 — third Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 7% (5/69) against Kyle Gibson this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (30/159) against Kyle Gibson this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .560 (14-for-25) against Kyle Gibson when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Tigers are just 7-32 (.179) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Tigers are just 4-5 (.444) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Tigers are just 9-74 (.108) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .197.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are just 0-5 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .037.
The Orioles are 13-10 (.565) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 8th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 8-1 (.889) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Orioles are 21-28 (.429) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .288.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (4,879 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .609 (4,879 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .301 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .562 (363 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
8% of Orioles’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (58/734 PA’s) this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Orioles hitters have drawn 59 walks in 520 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles hitters have 395 extra-base hits out of 1,047 total hits (38%) against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Orioles are batting just .227 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Orioles pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 104 of 1,607 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 50 of 709 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 6.66 (52.2 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Jorge Mateo (Orioles): Hip, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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