- The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-9 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 7.5 -105 | +140 |
Orioles | -1.5 +120 | U 7.5 -115 | -165 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 72% ROI)
- Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.90 Units / 99% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 78% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
- Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 58% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
Ramon Urias | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -250 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Ramon Urias | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Cedric Mullins | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Ryan Mountcastle | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Ramon Urias | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Eduardo Rodriguez | 4.5 -150 | 4.5 +110 |
Grayson Rodriguez | 5.5 -165 | 5.5 +130 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 10-9 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -3.83% ROI).
- 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.21% ROI
- 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.83% ROI
- 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.96% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.73% ROI).
- 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 20.4% ROI
- 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 10.04% ROI
- 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -16.74% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
starting pitcher – away
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 43% (12/28) against Grayson Rodriguez when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has struck out 35% (14/40) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .256 (10-for-39) against Grayson Rodriguez with two-strikes this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .178 — ninth Percentile.
Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 83% of the time (34/41) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 99th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 7-33 (.175) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Tigers are just 4-5 (.444) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.
The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Tigers are just 3-97 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are just 0-4 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.
The Orioles are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .881.
The Orioles are 39-12 (.765) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
The Orioles are 15-73 (.170) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,908 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .250 (396 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (706 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have drawn 11 walks in 63 PA’s (17%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
8% of Orioles’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (59/767 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Orioles hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.
Orioles hitters have drawn 59 walks in 526 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 146 of 1,597 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .091 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have walked 54 of 742 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .127 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
- Ednel Báez (Tigers): Finger, Day-to-Day
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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