Tigers vs Orioles Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 23

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Apr 23, 2023, 3:30 PM
  • The Orioles are -165 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
  • Orioles starting pitcher: Grayson Rodriguez
  • Watch the game on MASN2

The Detroit Tigers (+140) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-165) on Sunday, April 23, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Baltimore.

The Orioles are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 7-12 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 11-9 ATS.

Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 7.5 -105+140
Orioles -1.5 +120U 7.5 -115-165

Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 65.7% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Orioles and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 64% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+7.95 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in his last 7 games (+7.10 Units / 72% ROI)
  • Austin Meadows has hit the Runs Under in his last 7 away games (+7.00 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 away games (+6.90 Units / 99% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 9 games (+8.05 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 7 games (+7.25 Units / 78% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+7.15 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Cedric Mullins has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.95 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Austin Hays has hit the Singles Under in 8 of his last 10 games at home (+6.20 Units / 58% ROI)

Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Riley Greene 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Ramon Urias 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +850 0.5 -5000
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 1.5 +180 1.5 -250
Riley Greene 0.5 -210 0.5 +160
Ramon Urias 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Cedric Mullins 0.5 -155 0.5 +120
Adley Rutschman 0.5 -225 0.5 +175

Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ryan Mountcastle 0.5 +155 0.5 -210
Riley Greene 0.5 +210 0.5 -275
Ramon Urias 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Cedric Mullins 0.5 +225 0.5 -300
Adley Rutschman 0.5 +210 0.5 -275

Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Eduardo Rodriguez 4.5 -150 4.5 +110
Grayson Rodriguez 5.5 -165 5.5 +130
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.25 Units / 58% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 games (+6.90 Units / 60% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.45 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in their last 5 games (+5.00 Units / 91% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+3.80 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.50 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 20 games (+2.45 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 6 games at home (+1.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 7 games (+1.50 Units / 19% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 10-9 against the Run Line (-0.9 Units / -3.83% ROI).

  • 7-12 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -4.21% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.85 Units / -8.83% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.2 Units / 0.96% ROI

Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 11-9 against the Run Line (+0.45 Units / 1.73% ROI).

  • 13-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 20.4% ROI
  • 11-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.25 Units / 10.04% ROI
  • 8-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.65 Units / -16.74% ROI

starting pitcher – away

Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 43% (12/28) against Grayson Rodriguez when he’s behind in the count this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 99th Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has struck out 35% (14/40) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 93rd Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .256 (10-for-39) against Grayson Rodriguez with two-strikes this season — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: .178 — ninth Percentile.

Grayson Rodriguez has thrown fastballs up 83% of the time (34/41) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 7 total IP; League Avg: 57% — 99th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles

The Tigers are just 7-33 (.175) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.

The Tigers are just 4-5 (.444) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .734.

The Tigers are 15-1 (.938) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .807.

The Tigers are just 3-97 (.030) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .045.

Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Orioles are just 0-4 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .088.

The Orioles are 68-3 (.958) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .881.

The Orioles are 39-12 (.765) when totaling 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .730.

The Orioles are 15-73 (.170) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (4,908 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .250 (396 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .320.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (706 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .331 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Orioles hitters have drawn 11 walks in 63 PA’s (17%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

8% of Orioles’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (59/767 PA’s) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.

Orioles hitters are averaging 4.11 pitches per plate appearance this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.92.

Orioles hitters have drawn 59 walks in 526 PA’s (11%) against RHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 146 of 1,597 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.00 (27.0 IP) against division opponents this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .091 against Orioles pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .238.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Orioles pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Orioles pitchers have walked 54 of 742 batters (7%) this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .127 against Orioles pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.

Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D15
  • John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
  • Mychal Givens (Orioles): Knee, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D15
  • Ednel Báez (Tigers): Finger, Day-to-Day
  • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D15
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
  • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.