- The Orioles (76-70) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (56-91)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz (1-2), 4.15 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Austin Voth (5-2), 4.36 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN2
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-190) on Tuesday, September 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 54-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 90-54 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | O 8.5 -115 | +155 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +100 | U 8.5 -105 | -190 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 62.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+11.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 41 of his last 59 games (+14.35 Units / 15% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 49 games at home (+12.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 50% ROI)
- Austin Hays has hit the Runs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.70 Units / 55% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jorge Mateo | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Anthony Santander | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jesus Aguilar | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Voth | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -120 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -175 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 10 of their last 11 away games (+8.95 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+8.85 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 away games (+5.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 10 away games (+5.20 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 12 away games (+4.60 Units / 38% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 44 of their last 79 games (+8.35 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.90 Units / 35% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 66-78 against the Run Line (-23.25 Units / -12.8% ROI).
- 54-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.25 Units / -12.64% ROI
- 56-77 when betting on the total runs Over for -27.85 Units / -17.41% ROI
- 77-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +16.35 Units / 10.23% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 90-54 against the Run Line (+25.6 Units / 13.51% ROI).
- 76-69 when betting on the Moneyline for +27.5 Units / 17.48% ROI
- 65-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.05 Units / -9.47% ROI
- 74-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 1.64% ROI
Joseph Wentz: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Austin Voth: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .213 (70-for-329) against Austin Voth with two-strikes since the start of last season — highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .157 — first Percentile.
Austin Voth has a strikeout rate of just 39% (137 SO in 356 PAs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 7th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 45% — seventh Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .287 (74-for-258) against Austin Voth since the start of last season — 9th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .229 — sixth Percentile.
Austin Voth has allowed a slugging percentage of .334 (110 Total Bases / 329 ABs) with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th highest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: .247 — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 6-63 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .198.
The Tigers are just 55-81 (.404) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Tigers are 11-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .804.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 56-1 (.982) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .882.
The Orioles are 13-61 (.176) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .118.
The Orioles are 25-6 (.806) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Orioles are 8-62 (.114) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .085.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .597 (3,868 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,868 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .323 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,099 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters have grounded into 23 double plays in 360 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Orioles have a winning percentage of just 44% at home since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
Orioles hitters have 382 strikeouts in 1,523 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Orioles have won just 60% of games in which they have scored first at home since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 73%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 115 of 1,281 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (1250.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 14% when going through the lineup the third time in a game since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 19%.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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