- The Orioles (76-71) are -150 favorites vs the Tigers (57-91)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (2-2), 3.27 ERA
- Orioles starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles (10-11), 4.69 ERA
- Watch the game on MASN
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Oriole Park at Camden Yards to take on the Baltimore Orioles (-150) on Wednesday, September 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Baltimore.
The Orioles are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Tigers vs Orioles Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 55-91 against the spread (ATS), while the Orioles are 90-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Orioles Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -160 | O 8.5 -115 | +125 |
| Orioles | -1.5 +135 | U 8.5 -105 | -150 |
Tigers vs Orioles Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 61.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Orioles and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 34 games (+12.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 away games (+11.55 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 13 away games (+9.40 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Orioles Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ryan Mountcastle has hit the Total Bases Under in 42 of his last 60 games (+15.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 50 games at home (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 49% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Total Bases Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+9.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ramon Urias has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+9.30 Units / 78% ROI)
Orioles vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Orioles vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Ryan Mountcastle | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adley Rutschman | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Austin Hays | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Cedric Mullins | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Gunnar Henderson | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
Orioles vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 3.5 -145 | 3.5 +100 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -145 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 73 away games (+9.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 49 away games (+9.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 28 of their last 48 away games (+8.90 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 away games (+8.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 14 away games (+7.05 Units / 35% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Orioles: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 45 of their last 80 games (+9.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.85 Units / 34% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 67-78 against the Run Line (-22.25 Units / -12.16% ROI).
- 55-91 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.65 Units / -11.52% ROI
- 56-78 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.05 Units / -18.03% ROI
- 78-56 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.35 Units / 10.79% ROI
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 90-55 against the Run Line (+24.6 Units / 12.91% ROI).
- 76-70 when betting on the Moneyline for +25.7 Units / 16.15% ROI
- 65-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.25 Units / -10.15% ROI
- 75-65 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.65 Units / 2.25% ROI
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 46% (22/48) — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters are hitting just .000 (0-for-21) against Matt Manning — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .220 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OPS of just .186 (33 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this month (3 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .664 — 100th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OPS of just .045 (22 PA’s) vs left-handed batters — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .653 — 100th Percentile.
Jordan Lyles: Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of .738 (359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .464 — second Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .315 (359 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .221 — fourth Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of .423 (138 Total Bases / 326 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 73 total IP; League Avg: .265 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .285 (184-for-646) against Jordan Lyles this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Tigers are just 6-31 (.162) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .290.
The Tigers are just 6-63 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .199.
The Tigers are just 7-43 (.140) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .277.
The Tigers are just 30-45 (.400) at home this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .527.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Orioles are 25-6 (.806) when scoring in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .666.
The Orioles are 59-2 (.967) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Orioles are 13-62 (.173) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Orioles are just 13-25 (.342) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (3,936 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .602 (3,936 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (2,680 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers hitters have drawn 91 walks in 1,414 PA’s (6%) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
The Orioles are batting just .224 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Orioles hitters are slugging just .202 at home over the last 14 days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Orioles hitters have an OBP of just .244 (172 PA’s) against LHP this month (12 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .306.
The Orioles are batting just .172 against LHP this month (12 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .240.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 117 of 1,299 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Orioles pitchers have an ERA of 5.79 (1250.0 IP) against division opponents since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.17.
Orioles pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Orioles pitchers since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Orioles vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Christopher Ellis (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- John Means (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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