- The Tigers are -125 favorites vs the Padres
- Tigers vs Padres Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Tigers / Padres TV Channel: DSN | PDTV | MLBN
The Detroit Tigers (-125) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (+105) on March 26, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Tigers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +140 | O 7 -110 | -125 |
| Padres | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -110 | +105 |
Tigers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 away games (+8.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 3 away games (+7.70 Units / 257% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 away games (+7.30 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Miguel Andujar has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games at home (+14.90 Units / 149% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Walks Over in 12 of his last 20 games at home (+11.75 Units / 59% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the RBIs Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+9.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+8.30 Units / 41% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 93 of their last 170 games (+12.50 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 142 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games at home (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 81 games at home (+8.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -525 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Padres vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Padres vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -235 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -285 |
Padres vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pivetta (SD) | 5.5 -145 | 5.5 +110 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 +125 | 7.5 -160 |
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Tigers were 78-1 (.987) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .956.
The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres were 25-6 (.806) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Padres were 63-5 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .875.
The Padres were 42-25 (.627) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face the Tigers (16th runs allowed).
The Padres were 48-12 (.800) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
The Tigers batted .265 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .083 with two-strikes in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters have drawn walks in 2% of their PA’s against RHP in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Padres are batting .197 with two-strikes since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since the 2024 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.89 (700.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 20% in late innings in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 61% with two-strikes in the postseason — best in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in the postseason — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Padres allowed 1.04 runs per game (168/162) in late innings in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
More MLB Reading:
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