- The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Padres
- Tigers vs Padres Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Tigers / Padres TV Channel: DSN | PDTV
The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-110) on March 28, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40 pm in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Tigers are 2-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-2 ATS.
Tigers vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Randy Vasquez 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +145 | O 8 -105 | -110 |
| Padres | +1.5 -175 | U 8 -115 | -110 |
Tigers vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+9.00 Units / 150% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 17 of his last 25 games (+8.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+10.80 Units / 43% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 25 games (+9.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+8.85 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+7.60 Units / 26% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 92 of their last 169 games (+11.30 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 76 of their last 142 games (+10.40 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 away games (+10.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 away games (+4.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 21 away games (+2.60 Units / 9% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Under in 86 of their last 151 games (+17.30 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 44 of their last 79 games at home (+14.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 70 of their last 123 games (+10.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 46 of their last 79 games at home (+10.00 Units / 11% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 23 of their last 36 games at home (+7.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 2-0 against the Run Line (+2.4 Units / 82.76% ROI).
- 2-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.15 Units / 95.56% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-2 against the Run Line (-2.65 Units / -100% ROI).
- 0-2 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.35 Units / -100% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.05 Units / -2.33% ROI
- 1-1 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.1 Units / -4.44% ROI
Padres vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Yes | |
|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | +300 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | +360 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | +375 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | +400 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | +450 |
Padres vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 -235 | 0.5 +175 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +165 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Padres vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Fernando Tatis Jr. (SD) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Padres vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
| Randy Vasquez (SD) | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Tigers were 74-19 (.796) when they allowed 4 or fewer runs in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Padres were 25-6 (.806) when they hit 2 or more home runs in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Padres were 11-55 (.167) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .124.
The Padres were 48-12 (.800) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .743.
The Padres were 25-14 (.641) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams in the 2025 season Today, they face Tigers (fifth in runs allowed).
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers batted .265 against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
The Tigers are batting just .083 with two-strikes in the postseason — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
Padres hitters struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP in the 2025 season — best in MLB.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s against LHP since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Padres hitters struck out in just 19% of their PA’s in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Padres hitters have struck out in just 18% of their PA’s since the 2024 season — best in MLB.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.89 (700.1 IP) on the road in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.
Tigers pitchers had an ERA of 3.24 (466.1 IP) against division opponents in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.
Opponents had a groundball batting average of just .234 against Tigers pitchers in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers had a strikeout rate of 24% in the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB.
Padres pitchers had an ERA of 3.16 (738.0 IP) at home in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.
Padres pitchers allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played in the 2025 season — lowest in MLB.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 36% in the postseason — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
More MLB Reading:
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