- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Tigers / Phillies TV Channel: FDDT | NSPA
The Detroit Tigers (+125) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-150) on Friday, August 1, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA, PA.
This season, the Tigers are 64-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 53-54 ATS.
Tigers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 6-10, 4.53 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 8-4, 2.61 ERA
Tigers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -170 | O 7.5 -105 | +125 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +140 | U 7.5 -115 | -150 |
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Friday‘s MLB game with 57.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+13.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- Gleyber Torres has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+11.80 Units / 295% ROI)
- Andy Ibanez has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Walks Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Pitching Outs Under in 11 of his last 15 away games (+7.65 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.95 Units / 42% ROI)
- Max Kepler has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 35% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+11.05 Units / 44% ROI)
- Brandon Marsh has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+9.50 Units / 238% ROI)
- Ranger Suarez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.25 Units / 52% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 64 of their last 110 games (+16.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 58 of their last 109 games (+11.50 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 63 of their last 110 games (+9.45 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 64 of their last 107 games (+8.25 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 82 games (+6.90 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games (+13.76 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 25 of their last 43 games at home (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 46 of their last 85 games (+8.60 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 62 of their last 108 games (+7.74 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 52 games at home (+4.85 Units / 5% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 55-55 against the Run Line (-5.3 Units / -3.8% ROI).
- 64-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.25 Units / 3.21% ROI
- 54-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.4 Units / -0.33% ROI
- 50-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.3 Units / -7.63% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 53-54 against the Run Line (-3.7 Units / -2.82% ROI).
- 61-47 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.4 Units / -1.42% ROI
- 46-57 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.55 Units / -13.94% ROI
- 57-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.5 Units / 5.46% ROI
Phillies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -325 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -525 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Phillies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -220 | 0.5 +170 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -220 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Phillies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 -150 | 5.5 +115 |
| Jack Flaherty (DET) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% (40/122) against Jack Flaherty in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (301/462) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strikeout rate of 35% (66 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (301/462) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .207 (25 Total Bases / 121 ABs) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .432 — 100th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .260 (32 Total Bases / 123 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 8th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .387 — 95th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed an OPS of just .468 (134 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .756 — 99th Percentile.
Ranger Suarez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .360 (91 Total Bases / 253 ABs) on pitches in the strike zone this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .472 — 95th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are 76-8 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 24-8 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .635.
The Tigers are 56-13 (.812) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .710.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 10-30 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .119.
The Phillies are 22-77 (.222) when trailing entering the 7th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Phillies are 19-11 (.633) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season They play the Tigers (Ranks sixth runs scored) today.
The Phillies are 47-33 (.588) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season They play the Tigers (Ranks sixth runs scored) today.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 58% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers hitters are slugging .282 with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .264.
The Tigers are batting .265 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .240.
The Tigers have scored 222 runs with two outs this season — most in MLB.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Phillies are batting just .227 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .258.
The Phillies have scored first in 61% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .335 (3,142 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .344 (1,950 PA’s) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 3% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 39% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 8% of batters this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
More MLB Reading:
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