- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Phillies starting pitcher: Aaron Nola
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Detroit Tigers (+195) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Monday, June 5, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-120).
The Tigers vs Phillies Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 26-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 23-36 ATS.
Tigers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 +100 | O 8.5 -115 | +195 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -120 | U 8.5 -105 | -250 |
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 76.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+11.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Eric Haase has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 42 games (+14.80 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+13.55 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 43 games (+13.45 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryce Harper has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 30 games (+13.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
Phillies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Phillies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Castellanos | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Trea Turner | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
Phillies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Castellanos | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Trea Turner | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Kyle Schwarber | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
Phillies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Nola | 6.5 -155 | 6.5 +115 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 46 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 23 away games (+5.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 47 games (+4.10 Units / 8% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 23 games at home (+9.05 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+7.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 42 games (+6.50 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 17 games at home (+1.40 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 9 games at home (+0.25 Units / 3% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 30-27 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.87% ROI).
- 26-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +5 Units / 8.49% ROI
- 29-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.8 Units / -1.26% ROI
- 27-29 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -6.87% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 23-36 against the Run Line (-19.9 Units / -26.13% ROI).
- 27-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -17.13% ROI
- 25-30 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.55 Units / -11.71% ROI
- 30-25 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.7 Units / 4.13% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .430 (46 Total Bases / 107 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .279 — first Percentile.
Right-handed batters are hitting .327 (51-for-156) against Joey Wentz this season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .252 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 30% (42/141) against Joey Wentz with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: 39% — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .365 (27-for-74) against Joey Wentz versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 22 total IP; League Avg: .258 — first Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Aaron Nola allowed a batting average of .360 vs right-handed batters (tied for third worst)– fifth Percentile and just .136 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (ninth best among qualified SPs)– 87th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has allowed a .880 SLG vs right-handed batters (worst)– first Percentile and just .136 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (third best among qualified SPs)– 96th Percentile.
Aaron Nola has a strikeout rate of just 15% (8 SO in 53 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — eighth Percentile.
Aaron Nola has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (73/213) when he’s behind in the count this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are 15-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Tigers are 19-2 (.905) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Tigers are just 4-7 (.364) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.
The Tigers are 12-3 (.800) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Phillies are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .493.
The Phillies are just 5-15 (.250) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .384.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (2,504 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .283 (6,049 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .617 (6,049 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .333 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 36% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .333 (1,549 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Phillies hitter’ K:BB ratio is 4.6 against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 2.6.
Phillies hitters are slugging .417 against RHP since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 158 of 2,150 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 172 of 1,937 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have walked 131 of 1,944 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 24 double plays in 394 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Philadelphia Phillies – No Injuries Reported
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
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