- The Phillies are -250 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Holton
- Phillies starting pitcher: Zachary Wheeler
- Watch the game on NBCS-PH
The Detroit Tigers (+200) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-250) on Thursday, June 8, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 6:05pm EDT in Philadelphia.
The Phillies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-125).
The Tigers vs Phillies Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 26-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 24-37 ATS.
Tigers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -105 | +200 |
| Phillies | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 -115 | -250 |
Tigers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 87.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Phillies and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Phillies and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+13.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 27 games (+10.05 Units / 20% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+14.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 31 of his last 45 games (+13.25 Units / 23% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Total Bases Under in 30 of his last 45 games (+12.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Nick Castellanos has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+12.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- Kyle Schwarber has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 47 games (+12.45 Units / 26% ROI)
Phillies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
Phillies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -145 | 0.5 +110 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
Phillies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryce Harper | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -400 |
| Zack Short | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -650 |
Phillies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zack Wheeler | 8.5 +120 | 8.5 -155 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 48 games (+7.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 29 of their last 49 games (+6.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in their last 6 games (+6.05 Units / 90% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 25 away games (+5.50 Units / 20% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 23 of their last 43 games (+5.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+3.40 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.65 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 31-28 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -1.81% ROI).
- 26-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +3 Units / 4.93% ROI
- 30-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -1.37% ROI
- 28-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.3 Units / -6.72% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Phillies have gone 24-37 against the Run Line (-19.9 Units / -25.37% ROI).
- 29-32 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.75 Units / -13.9% ROI
- 26-31 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.65 Units / -11.46% ROI
- 31-26 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.65 Units / 3.92% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tyler Holton has allowed an OPS of just .427 (46 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 5th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .683 — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .246 (122 PA’s) this season — 8th best among in MLB; League Avg: .312 — 93rd Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed an OBP of just .217 (46 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 4th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .315 — 96th Percentile.
Tyler Holton has allowed a slugging percentage of just .209 (9 Total Bases / 43 ABs) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 8th best among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: .368 — 93rd Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zack Wheeler has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.0 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (133 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 88 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Opponents are hitting .517 (15-for-29) against Zack Wheeler on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .342 — third Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown inside pitches 43% of the time (388/902) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Zack Wheeler has thrown fastballs 68% of the time (1,236/1,816) against right-handed batters since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Tigers are just 23-35 (.397) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Tigers are 19-2 (.905) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Tigers are just 43-70 (.381) on the road since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Tigers are just 13-19 (.406) after a loss this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Phillies are 6-2 (.750) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .444.
The Phillies are just 7-15 (.318) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Phillies are just 2-21 (.087) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Phillies are just 26-35 (.426) after a loss as favorites since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .594.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .600 (2,529 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .690.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .282 (6,111 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .614 (6,111 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .635 (8,097 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Phillies hitters are slugging .516 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .446.
26% of Phillies hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Phillies hitters have an OBP of .332 (1,571 PA’s) against RHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 174 of 1,953 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 165 of 2,217 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Phillies pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 25 double plays in 404 opportunities (6%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
The Phillies have won just 6% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed the 29th hardest ball in play hit (118.2 MPH) this season (; League Avg: 115.8).
Phillies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Darick Hall (Phillies): Thumb, D60
- Rhys Hoskins (Phillies): ACL, D60
- José Alvarado (Phillies): Elbow, D15
- Alec Bohm (Phillies): Hamstring, D10
- Rafael Marchán (Phillies): Hand, D60
- Noah Song (Phillies): Back, D60
- Cristian Pache (Phillies): Knee, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Left fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Matthew Vierling (Tigers): Back, D10
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