- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Pirates
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Pirates starting pitcher: Johan Oviedo
- Watch the game on SportsNet PT
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-115) on Tuesday, August 1, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Tigers vs Pirates Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 47-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 50-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 9 -115 | -105 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -190 | U 9 -105 | -115 |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 52.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 31 games (+16.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.80 Units / 42% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 23 away games (+10.65 Units / 45% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+10.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.25 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+12.45 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+10.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+10.00 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ji-Man Choi has hit the Hits Over in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 17 games at home (+8.10 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
Pirates vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -150 | 0.5 +115 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 1.5 +200 | 1.5 -275 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Pirates vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Johan Oviedo | 5.5 -110 | 5.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 51 away games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 83 games (+8.00 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 51 away games (+7.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 30 of their last 51 away games (+6.55 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 away games (+5.85 Units / 25% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 48 of their last 77 games (+16.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 30 games at home (+13.90 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 16 games at home (+10.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 10 games (+5.60 Units / 56% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.15 Units / 61% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 55-51 against the Run Line (-2.95 Units / -2.24% ROI).
- 47-59 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.9 Units / 2.54% ROI
- 55-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.8 Units / 2.38% ROI
- 47-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.75 Units / -11.04% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 50-55 against the Run Line (-19.05 Units / -13.73% ROI).
- 47-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.6 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 54-46 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.8 Units / 3.29% ROI
- 46-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.05 Units / -11.28% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has allowed a BABIP of .216 this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: .295 — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 23% (64/283) against Matt Manning this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 29% — second Percentile.
Matt Manning has thrown breaking pitches 77% of the time (143/185) against right-handed batters over the last 30 days (5 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 36% — 100th Percentile.
47% of Matt Manning’s strikeouts are looking this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 41 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Johan Oviedo has walked 31 of 186 batters (17%) versus the top of the order this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — second Percentile.
12 of Johan Oviedo’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor on breaking pitches this season — tied for 6th most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 92nd Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (289/515) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — second Percentile.
Johan Oviedo has walked 49 of 516 batters (10%) this season — tied for 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 14th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are just 46-58 (.442) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .570.
The Tigers are just 46-84 (.354) after a loss as underdogs since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .406.
The Tigers are just 11-15 (.423) after a home win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .542.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 13-17 (.433) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Pirates are 42-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Pirates are just 59-74 (.444) at home since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Pirates are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (7,363 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,799 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,363 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .343 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .230 against LHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Pirates hitters have an OBP of just .298 (3,072 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
The Pirates are batting just .227 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Pirates are batting just .123 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .155.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 296 of 3,987 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 12 of 235 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 28 of 196 batters (14%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 967 of 10,261 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 22% in close and late situations since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 65% of their games at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Pirates vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ke’Bryan Hayes (Pirates): Back, D10
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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