Tigers vs Pirates Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 17

Pittsburgh Pirates shortstop Oneil Cruz (15) bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Washington Nationals at Nationals Park, Monday, June 27, 2022, in Washington.
(AP Photo/Alex Brandon)
Parlay Boost Today
  • The Tigers are -110 favorites vs the Pirates
  • Tigers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Pirates TV Channel: ESPN

The Detroit Tigers (-110) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-110) on August 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05 pm in Pittsburgh, PA.

This season, the Tigers are against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are ATS.

Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 7-8, 4.26 ERA
  • Pirates starting pitcher: Carmen Mlodzinski 6-5, 3.81 ERA

Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +145O 8 -105-110
Pirates +1.5 -180U 8 -115-110

Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Eduardo Valencia has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 10 games (+18.30 Units / 183% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 20 away games (+11.40 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Framber Valdez has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.50 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Under in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.25 Units / 107% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the RBIs Over in 5 of his last 6 away games (+7.90 Units / 132% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Rafael Flores has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Esmerlyn Valdez has hit the Walks Over in 14 of his last 25 games (+10.60 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Brandon Lowe has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.30 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Henry Davis has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+8.30 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Henry Davis has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 25 games at home (+8.05 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games (+17.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 30 away games (+11.65 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 35 away games (+9.05 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 18 games (+7.25 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 50 games at home (+15.80 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 games (+6.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 29 of their last 50 games (+5.55 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 24 games at home (+2.65 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 3 of their last 5 games (+1.00 Units / 19% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Pirates are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Dillon Dingler +425
Spencer Torkelson +450
Brandon Lowe +550
Esmerlyn Valdez +550
Brett Callahan +550

Pirates vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Nick Gonzales 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Zach McKinstry 0.5 -210 0.5 +140

Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -275 0.5 +180
Bryan Reynolds 0.5 -235 0.5 +160
Rafael Flores 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Brett Callahan 0.5 -210 0.5 +140
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates

The Tigers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are just 0-6 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.

The Tigers were 18-54 (.250) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .143.

Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Pirates are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 4-7 (.364) this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB.

The Pirates are just 0-7 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for lowest in MLB.

The Pirates were just 7-44 (.137) when allowing 10 or more hits in the 2024 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Tigers hitters have been successful in just 50% of their sacrifice bunt attempts this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .230 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OBP of .343 (3,427 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .288 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB.

Pirates hitters have an OPS of .767 (3,427 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The Pirates are batting .363 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Tigers pitchers this season traveled 422.0 feet — — 3rd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed innings of 3+ runs in 4% of innings played this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 44% of their games this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have walked 10% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 5th best in MLB.

The Pirates have won just 29% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.