- The – are favorites vs the –
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Pirates starting pitcher: Osvaldo Bido
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, August 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at ().
The Tigers vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 47-60 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 51-55 ATS.
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 55.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 32 games (+15.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+12.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 27 games (+11.30 Units / 34% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+11.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 29 games (+10.80 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jared Triolo has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+13.45 Units / 51% ROI)
- Jared Triolo has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games (+11.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Connor Joe has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+9.10 Units / 26% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.05 Units / 81% ROI)
Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Pirates vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Pirates vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Osvaldo Bido | 4.5 -125 | 4.5 -105 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 52 away games (+8.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 84 games (+6.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+6.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 29 of their last 52 away games (+6.45 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 22 away games (+4.75 Units / 19% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 49 of their last 78 games (+17.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 games at home (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 17 games at home (+9.65 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+6.60 Units / 59% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.80 Units / 75% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 55-52 against the Run Line (-4.85 Units / -3.63% ROI).
- 47-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.9 Units / 1.65% ROI
- 55-48 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.75 Units / 1.47% ROI
- 48-55 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.75 Units / -10.07% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Pirates have gone 51-55 against the Run Line (-17.4 Units / -12.45% ROI).
- 48-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.6 Units / -0.51% ROI
- 54-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +2.75 Units / 2.36% ROI
- 47-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -10.31% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .107 (6-for-56) against Eduardo Rodriguez’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .228 — 98th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .202 (24 Total Bases / 119 ABs) versus the top of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .107 (6 Total Bases / 56 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: .399 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (9/52) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low non-fastballs this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Osvaldo Bido has not allowed a home run in any of the last 16.0 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 85.0.
Osvaldo Bido has not allowed a HR in any of his last three starts dating back to June 30th — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 15.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (2/22) against Osvaldo Bido on pitches in the strike zone over the last 14 days (1 games) — tied for 11th lowest in NL over the last two weeks; League Avg: 18% — 11th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (9/33) against Osvaldo Bido over the last 30 days (4 games) — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 8 total IP; League Avg: 42% — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are just 17-109 (.135) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Tigers are just 28-43 (.394) after a home loss since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Tigers are just 8-13 (.381) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .490.
The Tigers are 16-7 (.696) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are 22-4 (.846) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .722.
The Pirates are just 8-15 (.348) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 14-17 (.452) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are 43-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (7,393 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,393 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (3,110 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .694.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .286 (3,805 PA’s) versus relief pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are batting just .221 on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Pirates are batting just .228 since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Pirates are batting just .217 with two outs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Pirates are batting just .151 with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .169.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 8 of 223 batters (4%) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 296 of 4,019 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 28 of 192 batters (15%) over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 969 of 10,294 batters (9%) since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,575 of 16,434 batters (10%) since the 2021 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games on the road since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Pirates vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jarlín García (Pirates): Arm, D60
- Vincent Velasquez (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Max Kranick (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Tucupita Marcano (Pirates): Knee, D60
- Oneil Cruz (Pirates): Ankle, D60
- Jonathan Brubaker (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Ji Hwan Bae (Pirates): Ankle, D10
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Mason Englert (Tigers): Hip, D15
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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