- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Pirates
- Tigers vs Pirates Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Tigers / Pirates TV Channel: FDDT | SNPT
The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (+110) on Wednesday, July 23, 2025. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA, PA.
This season, the Tigers are 60-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 51-49 ATS.
Tigers vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Tigers starting pitcher: Troy Melton 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Bailey Falter 6-5, 4.00 ERA
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | O 9 -118 | -135 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -155 | U 9 -102 | +110 |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.70 Units / 31% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+9.40 Units / 134% ROI)
- Zach McKinstry has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the RBIs Under in his last 7 games (+7.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+6.80 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+13.95 Units / 93% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.10 Units / 42% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+10.05 Units / 36% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Singles Over in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+8.35 Units / 46% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 60 of their last 102 games (+17.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 59 of their last 102 games (+9.90 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 60 of their last 99 games (+9.85 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 53 of their last 101 games (+9.05 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 40 away games (+7.45 Units / 17% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 64 of their last 101 games (+23.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 53 of their last 90 games (+15.85 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+13.75 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+9.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 41 of their last 69 games (+9.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 51-51 against the Run Line (-6.05 Units / -4.65% ROI).
- 60-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.85 Units / 4.49% ROI
- 51-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 47-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.1 Units / -8.04% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 51-49 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -4.3% ROI).
- 41-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -14.44% ROI
- 41-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.75 Units / -20.21% ROI
- 58-41 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 11.89% ROI
Pirates vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Jahmai Jones (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Javier Baez (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
Pirates vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Gleyber Torres (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Dillon Dingler (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pirates vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Troy Melton (DET) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Bailey Falter (PIT) | 3.5 +125 | 3.5 -160 |
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 22% (120/541) against Bailey Falter this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — first Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 48% of the time (197/413) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Bailey Falter has a first-pitch strike rate of just 56% (231/413) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — third Percentile.
Bailey Falter has thrown inside pitches 44% of the time (497/1,141) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 32% — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers were 13-55 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2024 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .100.
The Tigers are 72-8 (.900) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .747.
The Tigers are 60-42 (.588) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 8-95 (.078) when trailing entering the 9th inning since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .047.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 11-73 (.131) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Pirates are just 15-51 (.227) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Pirates are just 1-52 (.019) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .092.
The Pirates are just 2-46 (.042) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .122.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .321 over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Tigers hitters are slugging .438 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .385.
The Tigers have a winning percentage of 54% on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Tigers have scored 1.60 runs per game (8/5) over the past seven days (5 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 4.57.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .309 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .557 (563 PA’s) this month (16 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The Pirates have scored 106 runs with two outs this season — fewest in MLB.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .584 (1,834 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers walked 416 of 5,969 batters (7%) in the 2024 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have not walked any of the 41 batters that they have faced when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 7.17 (54.0 IP) at home this month (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.07.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have won only 10% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Batters facing the Pirates pitchers have struck out on pitches in the zone 55% of the time this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%. this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
More MLB Reading:
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