- The – (35-20) are favorites vs the – (35-20)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-2), 2.33 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller (2-5), 5.771 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers () visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates () on Wednesday, June 8, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 12:35pm EDT in Pittsburgh.
The – are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at ().
The Tigers vs Pirates Over/Under is total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 22-33 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 26-27 ATS.
Tigers vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | O | ||
| Pirates | U |
Tigers vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 72.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Pirates and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Willi Castro has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 39% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Under in his last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 54% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 11 away games (+5.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Willi Castro has hit the Singles Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+5.15 Units / 50% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.10 Units / 61% ROI)
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 15 games at home (+9.15 Units / 30% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+8.55 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games at home (+8.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Ke’Bryan Hayes has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 16 games at home (+7.40 Units / 35% ROI)
- Jack Suwinski has hit the Runs Over in his last 5 games at home (+6.95 Units / 139% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 52 games (+15.85 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games (+6.15 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+6.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 16 of their last 25 away games (+5.60 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 14 of their last 26 away games (+1.80 Units / 6% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Pirates: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+9.15 Units / 99% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+6.25 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games at home (+5.80 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 12 games (+4.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games (+4.10 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 26-29 against the Run Line (-4.2 Units / -6.29% ROI).
- 22-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -11.86% ROI
- 18-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.45 Units / -31.89% ROI
- 34-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.7 Units / 24.38% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 26-27 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -7.44% ROI).
- 24-29 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.15 Units / 9.15% ROI
- 21-27 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.3 Units / -14.35% ROI
- 27-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.75 Units / 6.36% ROI
Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 73% (126/173) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .156 (7 Total Bases / 45 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .369 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 41% (209/507) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: 52% — second Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed a slugging percentage of just .172 (5 Total Bases / 29 ABs) on fastballs away this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 93rd Percentile.
Mitch Keller: Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .436 (125-for-287) against Mitch Keller in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed batters are hitting .324 (90-for-278) against Mitch Keller since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .237 — first Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OBP of .401 (322 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .307 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .307 (84-for-274) against Mitch Keller’s non-fastballs since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 106 total IP; League Avg: .221 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Tigers are just 1-23 (.042) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 8-18 (.308) on the road this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .487.
The Tigers are just 3-16 (.158) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .333.
The Tigers are just 22-28 (.440) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Pirates are just 70-17 (.805) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .877.
The Pirates are just 23-25 (.479) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Pirates are 10-3 (.769) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .711.
The Pirates are just 13-16 (.448) at home this season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .551 (916 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .294 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .382.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .257 (916 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .307.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (1,940 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .362 against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .404.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .223 with two-strikes since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Pirates are batting just .208 with two outs since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .231.
The Pirates have answered-back in just 23% of innings after an opponent scores since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 44 of 483 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH (1,355 batted balls) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 198 of 2,041 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 804 of 8,181 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 181 of 1,867 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 240 of 2,383 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nicolaus Mears (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Josh VanMeter (Pirates): Finger, D10
- Richard Hembree (Pirates): Right Calf, D15
- Kevin Newman (Pirates): Groin, D60
- Jacob Marisnick (Pirates): Thumb, D10
- Benjamin Gamel (Pirates): Hamstring, D10
- Roberto Pérez (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Dillon Peters (Pirates): Undisclosed, D15
- Blake Cederlind (Pirates): Elbow, D60
- Yoshitomo Tsutsugo (Pirates): Undisclosed, D10
- Greg Allen (Pirates): Hamstring, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Elbow, D15
- Robert Grossman (Tigers): Neck, D10
- Derek Hill (Tigers): Illness, Day-to-Day
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Victor Reyes (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Ribcage, D15
- Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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