Tigers vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 28

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 28, 2022, 9:54 AM
  • The Rangers (58-68) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (49-78)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-7), 4.05 ERA
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Kohei Arihara (1-1), 2.31 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Tigers vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 47-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-54 ATS.

Tigers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -145O 8.5 -105+135
Rangers -1.5 +120U 8.5 -115-165

Tigers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Rangers vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Akil Baddoo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.45 Units / 116% ROI)
  • Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)

Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 37 games (+25.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
  • Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+18.25 Units / 48% ROI)
  • Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 53 of his last 87 games (+17.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 62 games at home (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 87 games (+9.05 Units / 9% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 71% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 37% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 57-68 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -13.15% ROI).

  • 47-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.5 Units / -11.77% ROI
  • 44-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.25 Units / -23.45% ROI
  • 70-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.15 Units / 16.03% ROI

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 69-54 against the Run Line (+10.6 Units / 6.65% ROI).

  • 55-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -8.27% ROI
  • 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 3.24% ROI
  • 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.72% ROI

Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.

The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 398.1

Opponents are hitting just .196 (11-for-56) against Drew Hutchison when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.

Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 15% (45 SO in 306 PAs) this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.

Kohei Arihara: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kohei Arihara has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (47/164) this month (2 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 91st Percentile.

Kohei Arihara has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 13 opportunities (23%) this month (2 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 92nd Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Tigers are just 5-54 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.

The Tigers are just 5-36 (.122) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Tigers are 7-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.

The Tigers are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Rangers are just 17-55 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

The Rangers are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.

The Rangers are 34-6 (.850) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,387 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .593 (3,387 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,618 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.

Rangers hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.

Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,294 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.

Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 65% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *

Tigers pitchers have walked 102 of 1,110 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 107 of 1,124 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 442 of 4,792 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers pitchers have walked 11 of 225 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rangers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
  • Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
  • Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
  • Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
  • Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
  • Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.