- The Rangers (58-68) are -165 favorites vs the Tigers (49-78)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Andrew Hutchison (1-7), 4.05 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Kohei Arihara (1-1), 2.31 ERA
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-165) on Sunday, August 28, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Rangers Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 47-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 69-54 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -105 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 -115 | -165 |
Tigers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 54.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Akil Baddoo has hit the Singles Over in 8 of his last 9 away games (+10.45 Units / 116% ROI)
- Jeimer Candelario has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+10.40 Units / 51% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Runs Under in 11 of his last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 35% ROI)
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 37 games (+25.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Martin Perez has hit the Strikeouts Over in 21 of his last 24 games (+19.10 Units / 66% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games at home (+18.25 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Total Bases Over in 53 of his last 87 games (+17.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Total Bases Under in 43 of his last 62 games at home (+14.70 Units / 16% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 41 of their last 73 games (+9.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+7.55 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 9 games (+5.70 Units / 62% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Rangers: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 46 of their last 87 games (+9.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.25 Units / 71% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 6 games (+2.60 Units / 37% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 57-68 against the Run Line (-20.7 Units / -13.15% ROI).
- 47-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.5 Units / -11.77% ROI
- 44-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -32.25 Units / -23.45% ROI
- 70-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +22.15 Units / 16.03% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 69-54 against the Run Line (+10.6 Units / 6.65% ROI).
- 55-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.7 Units / -8.27% ROI
- 61-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 52-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.5 Units / -10.72% ROI
Andrew Hutchison: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Hutchison has walked 7 of 37 batters (19%) in late innings this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 6% — first Percentile.
The average home run distance against Drew Hutchison this season is 379.2 feet — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 398.1
Opponents are hitting just .196 (11-for-56) against Drew Hutchison when he’s behind in the count this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .334 — 99th Percentile.
Drew Hutchison has a strikeout rate of just 15% (45 SO in 306 PAs) this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: 22% — sixth Percentile.
Kohei Arihara: Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kohei Arihara has thrown his changeup 29% of the time (47/164) this month (2 games) — 11th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 91st Percentile.
Kohei Arihara has induced opposing hitters to ground into 3 double plays in 13 opportunities (23%) this month (2 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 11 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 92nd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Tigers are just 5-54 (.085) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .201.
The Tigers are just 5-36 (.122) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.
The Tigers are 7-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Tigers are just 4-23 (.148) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .289.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rangers are 9-8 (.529) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 17-55 (.236) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
The Rangers are just 46-8 (.852) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rangers are 34-6 (.850) when totaling 10 or more hits this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .274 (3,387 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .593 (3,387 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .290 (7,618 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .319 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 38% on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .304 (1,294 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Opponents have used a defensive shift against the Rangers on 65% of their plate appearances this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.. *
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 102 of 1,110 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 6 of 44 batters (14%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 107 of 1,124 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Rangers pitchers this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 442 of 4,792 batters (9%) this season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 11 of 225 batters (5%) over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Elijah White (Rangers): Wrist, D60
- Spencer Howard (Rangers): Shoulder, D15
- Mitchell Garver (Rangers): Forearm, D60
- Jonathan Gray (Rangers): Side, D15
- Joseph Barlow (Rangers): Finger, D15
- Cole Ragans (Rangers): Calf, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jonathan Schoop (Tigers): Ankle, D10
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Michael Pineda (Tigers): Triceps, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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