- The Rangers are -210 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Joseph Wentz
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Detroit Tigers (+170) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-210) on Wednesday, June 28, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Rangers Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 34-44 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 49-30 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -115 | +170 |
| Rangers | -1.5 -105 | U 9.5 -105 | -210 |
Tigers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 83.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 away games (+11.45 Units / 46% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+18.35 Units / 46% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+16.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games at home (+12.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+11.55 Units / 52% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)
Rangers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
Rangers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Rangers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Rangers vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dane Dunning | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Joey Wentz | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -115 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 55 games (+9.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 67 games (+8.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 58% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 36 away games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 away games (+5.95 Units / 13% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 46 of their last 71 games (+26.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 71 games (+25.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 46 of their last 71 games (+23.20 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 71 games (+20.15 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+12.00 Units / 12% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-37 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.9% ROI).
- 34-44 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.3 Units / 5.3% ROI
- 42-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.2 Units / 4.82% ROI
- 34-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.4 Units / -13.49% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 49-30 against the Run Line (+19.75 Units / 19.9% ROI).
- 48-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.2 Units / 10% ROI
- 42-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.1 Units / 8.16% ROI
- 32-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -16.21% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .486 (17 GB hits out of 35 GBs) against Joey Wentz with runners on base this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .255 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .500 (11-for-22) against Joey Wentz on low fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .278 — 0 Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed a slugging percentage of .773 (17 Total Bases / 22 ABs) on low fastballs this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .434 — fifth Percentile.
Joey Wentz has allowed an OPS of .705 (166 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .523 — third Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 12% (22/178) against Dane Dunning this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Dane Dunning has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 54% (538/991) of the time since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 95 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 7% (13/192) against Dane Dunning on fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 19% — 0 Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed a slugging percentage of just .394 (56 Total Bases / 142 ABs) in non-two strike counts this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .581 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Tigers are just 11-44 (.200) vs top 10 scoring offenses since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Tigers are just 6-20 (.231) vs top 10 scoring offenses this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .421.
The Tigers are 20-3 (.870) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Tigers are just 97-123 (.441) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rangers are just 0-21 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Rangers are 13-7 (.650) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
The Rangers are just 1-19 (.050) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .143.
The Rangers are 17-6 (.739) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .569.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,664 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .624 (6,664 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (4,365 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rangers have scored three or more runs in an inning 68 times (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .849 (1,471 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .361 (822 PA’s) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters are slugging .316 with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .268.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 218 of 2,892 batters (7%) this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 198 of 2,136 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have won 47% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes over the last 14 days (13 games) — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rangers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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