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Tigers vs Rangers Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 29

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 02, 2023, 9:00 PM
  • The Rangers are + favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson
  • Rangers starting pitcher: Jonathan Gray
  • Watch the game on BSSW

The Detroit Tigers (+) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (+) on Thursday, June 29, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:05pm EDT in Arlington.

The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at + (+).

The Tigers vs Rangers Over/Under is total runs for the game.

This season, the Tigers are 34-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 50-30 ATS.

Tigers vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

  Spread Over / Under Moneyline
Tigers + + O + +
Rangers + + U + +

Tigers vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 79.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.

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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

     

    • Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
    • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
    • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
    • Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in 12 of his last 13 away games (+9.30 Units / 31% ROI)
    • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)

     

      And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

      Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:

         

        • Corey Seager has hit the RBIs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.65 Units / 48% ROI)
        • Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+15.35 Units / 23% ROI)
        • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 24 games at home (+13.85 Units / 42% ROI)
        • Corey Seager has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 22 games at home (+12.55 Units / 54% ROI)
        • Nate Lowe has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 50 games (+11.30 Units / 17% ROI)

         

          Rangers vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +450 0.5 -900

          Rangers vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Mitch Garver 0.5 -150 0.5 +115
          Adolis Garcia 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
          Joshua Jung 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
          Ezequiel Duran 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
          Jake Marisnick 0.5 -125 0.5 -105

          Rangers vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

          Over Under
          Matt Vierling 0.5 +200 0.5 -275
          Joshua Jung 0.5 +140 0.5 -185
          Ezequiel Duran 0.5 +165 0.5 -225
          Jake Marisnick 0.5 +270 0.5 -375

             

            • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 56 games (+10.40 Units / 17% ROI)
            • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 68 games (+7.90 Units / 11% ROI)
            • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 8 of their last 13 games (+6.85 Units / 47% ROI)
            • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 37 away games (+6.45 Units / 16% ROI)
            • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 37 away games (+4.95 Units / 11% ROI)

             

                 

                • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 47 of their last 72 games (+27.75 Units / 26% ROI)
                • The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 50 of their last 72 games (+26.80 Units / 30% ROI)
                • The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 72 games (+24.20 Units / 27% ROI)
                • The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 48 of their last 72 games (+21.35 Units / 25% ROI)
                • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 72 games (+13.00 Units / 12% ROI)

                 

                  Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-38 against the Run Line (-2.85 Units / -2.9% ROI).

                  • 34-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +3.3 Units / 4.02% ROI
                  • 43-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.2 Units / 5.89% ROI
                  • 34-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -14.65% ROI

                  Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

                  Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 50-30 against the Run Line (+20.75 Units / 20.64% ROI).

                  • 49-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.2 Units / 10.66% ROI
                  • 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.1 Units / 9.2% ROI
                  • 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.25 Units / -17.3% ROI

                  Reese Olson has not walked any of the 25 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.

                  Reese Olson has not allowed a hit in the first inning in any of his last four games dating back to June 2nd — Kolby Allard has the longest active streak at 7.

                  Lance Lynn allowed a slugging percentage of .691 (38 Total Bases / 55 ABs) on low fastballs in 2022 — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .429 — fourth Percentile.

                  Opponents had a miss rate of 41% (134/328) against Lance Lynn on elevated fastballs in 2022 — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

                  Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

                  Cody Bradford has limited playing time.

                  Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

                  keys to the game – away

                  Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

                  keys to the game – home

                  team hitters – away

                  team hitters – home

                  Tigers pitchers have walked 229 of 2,979 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

                  The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

                  Tigers pitchers have 301 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

                  Opponents have a groundball batting average of .314 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .260.

                  Rangers pitchers have walked 199 of 2,154 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

                  Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Rangers pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

                  Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 3.56 (346.1 IP) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.

                  The Rangers have allowed 3.72 runs per game (149/40) on the road this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.54.

                  Rangers vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

                     

                    • Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
                    • Glenn Otto (Rangers): Lat, D60
                    • Bradley Miller (Rangers): Oblique, D10
                    • Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
                    • Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
                    • José Leclerc (Rangers): Ankle, D15

                     

                         

                        • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                        • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
                        • Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
                        • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                        • William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
                        • Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
                        • Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
                        • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
                        • Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                        • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
                        • Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
                        • Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
                        • Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
                        • Reese Olson (Tigers): Leg, Day-to-Day

                         

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                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

                          Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

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