- The Rays are -225 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez, – ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Shane McClanahan, – ERA
- Watch the game on BSSUN
The Detroit Tigers (+185) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-225) on Thursday, March 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg.
The Rays are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Rays Over/Under is 6.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 11-11 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 13-10 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 6.5 +105 | +185 |
| Rays | -1.5 -105 | U 6.5 -125 | -225 |
Tigers vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Thursday‘s MLB matchup with 51.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rays and up-to-date player injuries.
Bet now on Tigers vs Rays and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- player high – away
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- player high – home
Rays vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rays vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +110 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +110 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 -160 | 0.5 +115 |
Rays vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Vierling | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -400 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Austin Meadows | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -375 |
Rays vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +110 |
| Shane McClanahan | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -125 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 159 games (+18.10 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 25 away games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 22 away games (+11.80 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 37 away games (+11.45 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 57 away games (+11.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games at home (+13.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 29 of their last 53 games (+11.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.60 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 34 games (+7.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 35 of their last 61 games (+7.25 Units / 9% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 8-15 against the Run Line (-7.4 Units / -27.46% ROI).
- 11-11 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.2 Units / 0.74% ROI
- 14-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.25 Units / 20.87% ROI
- 8-14 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.75 Units / -30.27% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 13-10 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 7.29% ROI).
- 9-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.65 Units / -17.22% ROI
- 12-11 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.99% ROI
- 11-12 when betting on the total runs Under for -1.95 Units / -7.68% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a miss rate of just 13% (17/128) against Eduardo Rodriguez on the first pitch of at-bats last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents had a line drive rate of just 13% (8/63) versus Eduardo Rodriguez on changeups last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents batted just .197 (12-for-61) against Eduardo Rodriguez on low fastballs last season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 64 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 95th Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has walked 48 of 393 batters (12%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since the start of the 2021 season — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 161 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane McClanahan allowed an OBP of just .246 (639 PA’s) last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents had a miss rate of 34% (418/1,220) against Shane McClanahan last season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 97th Percentile.
Right-handed batters batted just .192 (97-for-504) against Shane McClanahan last season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 91st Percentile.
Opponents batted just .194 (116-for-597) against Shane McClanahan last season — 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 93rd Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are just 7-34 (.171) when allowing 2 or more home runs last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 64-86 (.427) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Tigers are just 6-68 (.081) when allowing 5 or more runs last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .195.
The Tigers are just 32-88 (.267) when scoring 4 or fewer runs last season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are just 72-11 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning last season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
The Rays are 36-10 (.783) when scoring in the first inning last season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .664.
The Rays are 40-11 (.784) when totaling 10 or more hits last season — 9th best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
The Rays are 51-30 (.630) at home last season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .532.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters had an OPS of just .608 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters slugged just .331 against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .289 (8,569 PA’s) against RHP since the start of the 2021 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters had an OBP of just .277 (4,338 PA’s) against RHP last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters drew 40 walks in 705 PA’s (6%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 64% at home since the start of the 2021 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 54%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 167 double plays in 2,182 opportunities (8%) since the start of the 2021 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters have been successful in just 60% of their sacrifice bunt attempts since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 71%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of the 2021 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers had a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 65% of their games last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 820 of 11,928 batters (7%) since the start of the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers walked 384 of 5,930 batters (7%) last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 988 of 14,140 batters (7%) since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 206 of 3,433 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of 2020 — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Shawn Armstrong (Rays): Neck, D15
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D15
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Michael Lorenzen (Tigers): Groin, D15
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D15
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Tyler Nevin (Tigers): Oblique, D10
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