Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 17

Boston Red Sox rookie Roman Anthony celebrates after his two RBI double, his first major league hit, during the first inning of a baseball game against the Tampa Bay Rays at Fenway Park, Tuesday, June 10, 2025, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Charles Krupa)
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  • The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: ATV

The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on April 17, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 10-9 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-12 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Casey Mize 1-1, 3.94 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Ranger Suarez 1-1, 5.27 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -210O 8 -115+110
Red Sox -1.5 +170U 8 -105-135

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Friday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.30 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+14.00 Units / 70% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 9 games (+11.05 Units / 123% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 9 games (+9.40 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 9 games at home (+9.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Masataka Yoshida has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 20 games (+7.90 Units / 40% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.65 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 50 away games (+8.10 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in their last 6 games (+6.00 Units / 76% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+4.55 Units / 69% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+8.45 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+6.45 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+6.20 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.65 Units / 43% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 26 of their last 50 games at home (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 8-10 against the Run Line (-1.1 Units / -5% ROI).

  • 10-9 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.5 Units / -5.94% ROI
  • 8-9 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.95 Units / -9.29% ROI
  • 9-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.25 Units / 1.2% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-12 against the Run Line (-5 Units / -25.84% ROI).

  • 7-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.85 Units / -32.11% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.2 Units / 6.09% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -3.05 Units / -15.25% ROI

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +475
Willson Contreras +550
Marcelo Mayer +600
Trevor Story +700
Roman Anthony +725

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Matt Vierling 0.5 -235 0.5 +170
Jarren Duran 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Roman Anthony 0.5 -220 0.5 +160

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Torkelson 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Jarren Duran 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Willson Contreras 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Marcelo Mayer 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jahmai Jones 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers are 82-23 (.781) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .108.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox are 6-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .866.

The Red Sox are 78-4 (.951) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .907.

Tigers hitters have chased 20% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .266 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have struck out in 24% of their PA’s against RHP since the 2025 season — 3rd highest in MLB.

The Tigers batted just .136 on pitches out of the zone in the 2025 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 17% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .280 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

The Red Sox batted .254 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.33 (54.0 IP) over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

The Red Sox have allowed 3.22 runs per game (58/18) in the first 5 innings this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Red Sox pitchers have walked 5% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd best in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.