Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 18

Boston Red Sox's Jarren Duran plays against the Toronto Blue Jays during the first inning of a baseball game, Saturday, Aug. 5, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
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  • The Tigers are -170 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (-170) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (+140) on April 18, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10 pm in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 10-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-13 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 2-2, 2.22 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 1-1, 6.14 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +105O 7 +100-170
Red Sox +1.5 -125U 7 -120+140

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 58.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 games (+15.00 Units / 375% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 69% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.00 Units / 42% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the RBIs Over in 7 of his last 10 games (+10.05 Units / 100% ROI)
  • Roman Anthony has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 15 games (+7.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Andruw Monasterio has hit the Singles Under in his last 7 games at home (+7.00 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 8 of his last 9 games at home (+7.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 32 of their last 50 away games (+10.30 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 31 of their last 50 away games (+8.65 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 away games (+8.45 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 7 games (+5.55 Units / 65% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+5.00 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+10.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+8.70 Units / 19% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 31 of their last 50 games at home (+5.75 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.10 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 8 games (+1.65 Units / 21% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 9-10 against the Run Line (-0.1 Units / -0.42% ROI).

  • 10-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.5 Units / -9.52% ROI
  • 8-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.05 Units / -13.8% ROI
  • 10-8 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.25 Units / 5.71% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-13 against the Run Line (-6 Units / -29.48% ROI).

  • 8-11 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.85 Units / -26.6% ROI
  • 10-9 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.1 Units / 0.48% ROI
  • 9-10 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.05 Units / -9.72% ROI

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Riley Greene +525
Kerry Carpenter +525
Willson Contreras +600
Wilyer Abreu +725
Trevor Story +725

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Riley Greene 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Colt Keith 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -220 0.5 +165
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Ceddanne Rafaela 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Andruw Monasterio 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Kerry Carpenter 0.5 -220 0.5 +165

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers were just 4-56 (.067) when trailing entering the 7th inning in the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .124.

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers are 82-24 (.774) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

The Tigers were 47-9 (.839) when they had 10 or more hits in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .743.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 0-9 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .106.

The Red Sox are just 0-10 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .048.

The Red Sox are 6-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Red Sox are 80-2 (.976) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2025 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Tigers hitters have chased 21% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .244 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters slugged .439 against LHP in the 2025 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters are slugging just .345 against RHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have struck out in just 16% of their PA’s against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters have chased 24% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had 81 extra-base hits out of 186 total hits (43%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game in the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2025 season — best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters over the past seven days (6 games) — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents had a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.