Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Apr 20

Boston Red Sox's Masataka Yoshida bats during the first inning of a baseball game against the Minnesota Twins, Tuesday, June 20, 2023, in Minneapolis.
(AP Photo/Abbie Parr)
Welcome OfferBetting Promos
  • The Red Sox are -135 favorites vs the Tigers
  • Tigers vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 8 Runs
  • Tigers / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on April 20, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 11:10 am in Boston, MA.

This season, the Tigers are 12-10 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 6-15 ATS.

Tigers vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 0-1, 4.12 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 2-1, 4.43 ERA

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s MLB game with 52.5% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games (+22.00 Units / 440% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+15.75 Units / 61% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+13.40 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+13.35 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.30 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Trevor Story has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.85 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Willson Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+11.50 Units / 128% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.80 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Marcelo Mayer has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 55% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Total Bases Under in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+8.20 Units / 55% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+8.35 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+7.80 Units / 68% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 45 away games (+7.50 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 9 games (+7.20 Units / 63% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 19 of their last 30 away games (+6.00 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+11.05 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games at home (+9.50 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 games at home (+6.20 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 30 of their last 50 games at home (+3.00 Units / 4% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 11-10 against the Run Line (+2.15 Units / 8.02% ROI).

  • 12-10 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.3 Units / -1.05% ROI
  • 9-11 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -13.32% ROI
  • 11-9 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.15 Units / 4.79% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 6-15 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -37.06% ROI).

  • 8-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.25 Units / -32.86% ROI
  • 11-10 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.1 Units / -0.43% ROI
  • 10-11 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.15 Units / -9.27% ROI

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Wilyer Abreu +450
Kerry Carpenter +475
Willson Contreras +500
Riley Greene +525
Marcelo Mayer +600

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Masataka Yoshida 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -235 0.5 +175
Wilyer Abreu 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Roman Anthony 0.5 -200 0.5 +145

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcelo Mayer 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Matt Vierling 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Gleyber Torres 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Kevin McGonigle 0.5 -155 0.5 +115
Jack Flaherty 5.5 -150 5.5 +110

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are 3-7 (.300) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Tigers are 8-3 (.727) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .540.

The Tigers were just 3-56 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .090.

The Tigers are 84-24 (.778) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .714.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 0-11 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .107.

The Red Sox were 71-4 (.947) when leading entering the 8th inning in the 2025 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .909.

The Red Sox were 37-14 (.725) when they scored in the first inning in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.

The Red Sox are just 8-13 (.381) this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Tigers hitters had an OPS of .774 (1,702 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against LHP since the 2025 season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .280 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters came to the plate with runners in scoring position in 1,740 of their 6,208 plate appearances (28%) in the 2025 season — highest in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .331 (3,034 PA’s) at home in the 2025 season — 5th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OPS of .754 (1,943 PA’s) in innings 7-9 in the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB.

Red Sox hitters had an OBP of .326 (1,777 PA’s) against LHP in the 2025 season — tied for 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers walked 6% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning in the 2025 season — 2nd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have walked 7% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2024 season — 3rd best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have 20 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 3.88 (809.2 IP) on the road since the 2025 season — tied for best in MLB.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 4% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd best in MLB.

The longest HR allowed by the Red Sox pitchers in the 2025 season traveled 511.8 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .176 against Red Sox pitchers this season — best in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Red Sox pitchers since the 2025 season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


Bet now on Tigers vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

The content provided in this blog is intended for entertainment purposes only. All views and opinions expressed are the authors and reflect their individual perspectives on sports, betting, and related topics. This content should not be considered professional betting advice or the official views of BetMGM LLC. Please gamble responsibly. If you or someone you know is experiencing issues related to gambling, seek help from a licensed health professional. This blog is not liable for any losses, damages, or consequences resulting from betting activities.

About the Author Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.