Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 20

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 20, 2022, 11:22 AM
  • The Red Sox (36-31) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (26-40)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo (1-3), 4.27 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Joshua Winckowski (1-1), 4.50 ERA
  • Watch the game on NESN

The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).

The Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 26-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 36-31 ATS.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -120O 9.5 -120+155
Red Sox -1.5 +100U 9.5 +100-190

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Singles Over in his last 5 away games (+5.20 Units / 88% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Runs Under in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 52% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Over in his last 5 away games (+5.00 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Over in 5 of his last 6 games (+4.25 Units / 65% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 5 of his last 7 away games (+4.15 Units / 59% ROI)
  • Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.40 Units / 38% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+7.15 Units / 54% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 9 of his last 11 games at home (+6.85 Units / 47% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 28 games at home (+6.75 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 8 of his last 10 games (+5.85 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +700 0.5 -2500
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +325 0.5 -550
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +675 0.5 -2000

    Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 -190 0.5 +135
    J.D. Martinez 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 -185 0.5 +125

    Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Alex Verdugo 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    Christian Vazquez 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Franchy Cordero 0.5 +170 0.5 -250
    J.D. Martinez 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
    Jackie Bradley Jr. 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

    Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Josh Winckowski 4.5 +115 4.5 -160
    Alex Faedo 4.5 +110 4.5 -155
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 39 of their last 63 games (+16.15 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 12 games (+4.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 20 away games (+4.70 Units / 20% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 games (+4.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 30 of their last 47 games (+11.75 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 38 games (+11.20 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 60 games (+8.45 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 33 games (+6.80 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 66 games (+5.50 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 30-36 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -10.07% ROI).

    • 26-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -12.34% ROI
    • 23-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -28.49% ROI
    • 40-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +15 Units / 20.56% ROI

    Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI).

    • 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.38% ROI
    • 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -11.83% ROI
    • 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 6.09% ROI

    Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of .677 (21 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.

    Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (19/68) against Alex Faedo this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (10/29) against Alex Faedo’s changeup this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 52% — seventh Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Alex Faedo’s elevated fastball this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .229 — fifth Percentile.

    Joshua Winckowski: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Josh Winckowski has limited playing time.

    Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

    The Tigers are 10-3 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.

    The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.

    The Tigers are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.

    The Tigers are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

    Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

    The Red Sox are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.

    The Red Sox are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.

    The Red Sox are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.

    The Red Sox are just 122-19 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

    Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.

    Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.

    Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .583 (1,743 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (2,332 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

    The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.

    Red Sox hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.

    The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

    The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,629 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

    The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Tigers pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

    In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Tigers have won just just 8% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

    Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

    Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Harold Castro (Tigers): Calf, Day-to-Day
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • Jeimer Candelario (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.