- The Red Sox (36-31) are -190 favorites vs the Tigers (26-40)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo (1-3), 4.27 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Joshua Winckowski (1-1), 4.50 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Detroit Tigers (+155) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-190) on Monday, June 20, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+100).
The Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 26-40 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 36-31 ATS.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -120 | O 9.5 -120 | +155 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +100 | U 9.5 +100 | -190 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.6% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +135 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +125 |
Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Winckowski | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Alex Faedo | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -155 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 30-36 against the Run Line (-8.15 Units / -10.07% ROI).
- 26-40 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -12.34% ROI
- 23-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.7 Units / -28.49% ROI
- 40-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +15 Units / 20.56% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 36-31 against the Run Line (+4.25 Units / 5% ROI).
- 36-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.2 Units / -1.38% ROI
- 27-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.85 Units / -11.83% ROI
- 33-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.45 Units / 6.09% ROI
Alexander Faedo: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Alex Faedo has allowed a slugging percentage of .677 (21 Total Bases / 31 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .377 — first Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 28% (19/68) against Alex Faedo this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 43% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% (10/29) against Alex Faedo’s changeup this season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 52% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .355 (11-for-31) against Alex Faedo’s elevated fastball this season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .229 — fifth Percentile.
Joshua Winckowski: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Josh Winckowski has limited playing time.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are 10-3 (.769) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .673.
The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Tigers are just 9-18 (.333) on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .488.
The Tigers are just 3-14 (.176) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .099.
The Red Sox are 16-3 (.842) when hitting 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Red Sox are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .901.
The Red Sox are just 122-19 (.865) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .324 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .298 on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .385.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .583 (1,743 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (2,332 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .182 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .167.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.0 MPH this season (1,629 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 70% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the Tigers have won just just 8% of the time this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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