- The Red Sox (37-31) are -200 favorites vs the Tigers (26-41)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (1-5), 3.78 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Richard Hill (2-4), 4.41 ERA
- Watch the game on NESN
The Detroit Tigers (+165) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-200) on Tuesday, June 21, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.
The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 26-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 37-31 ATS.
Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -115 | O 9.5 -120 | +165 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 -105 | U 9.5 +100 | -200 |
Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 55.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +750 | 0.5 -3000 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| J.D. Martinez | 1.5 +150 | 1.5 -225 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +120 |
Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alex Verdugo | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Christian Vazquez | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -250 |
| Franchy Cordero | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| J.D. Martinez | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Jackie Bradley Jr. | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rich Hill | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
| Beau Brieske | 3.5 -130 | 3.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Red Sox: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 30-37 against the Run Line (-9.45 Units / -11.5% ROI).
- 26-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -9.85 Units / -13.55% ROI
- 23-41 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.7 Units / -29.46% ROI
- 41-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +16 Units / 21.58% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-31 against the Run Line (+5.35 Units / 6.22% ROI).
- 37-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.2 Units / -0.23% ROI
- 27-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.85 Units / -12.99% ROI
- 34-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.45 Units / 7.34% ROI
Beau Brieske: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Beau Brieske has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 13.0 innings pitched — Joe Mantiply has the longest active streak at 26.0.
Opposing hitters have a miss rate of just 13% (12/94) against Beau Brieske when he’s behind in the count this season — 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 18% (46/254) against Beau Brieske this season — 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 25% — eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (79/437) against Beau Brieske this season — tied for 14th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 25% — ninth Percentile.
Richard Hill: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 49% of the time (306/622) in non-two strike counts this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 45% of the time (399/878) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total CB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown his curveball 50% of the time (370/744) against right-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Rich Hill has thrown elevated pitches 49% of the time (1,176/2,385) in non-two strike counts since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Tigers are just 9-19 (.321) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Tigers are just 2-30 (.062) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Tigers are just 5-21 (.192) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .325.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.
The Red Sox are just 30-6 (.833) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .902.
The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Red Sox are just 1-21 (.045) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .098.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .585 (1,775 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .314 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .325 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .392.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .272 (1,775 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .309.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .468 at home since the start of last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 71% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,681 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 29% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games on the road since the start of last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
Looking for a first bet offer up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
At BetMGM, you can bet online with updated MLB betting odds. And with live sports betting, the best online sports betting and mobile sports betting (with the BetMGM Sportsbook app) experiences are at BetMGM.