Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jun 22

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jun 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Red Sox (38-31) are -135 favorites vs the Tigers (26-42)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (5-4), 3.13 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Michael Wacha (5-1), 2.27 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-135) on Wednesday, June 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston.

The Red Sox are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).

The Tigers vs Red Sox Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 26-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 37-32 ATS.

Tigers vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -175O 8 -115+115
Red Sox -1.5 +145U 8 -105-135

Tigers vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 79.1% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Red Sox and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Red Sox vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in his last 6 games (+6.90 Units / 57% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 6 games (+6.85 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Total Bases Over in 11 of his last 17 away games (+6.65 Units / 31% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 19 away games (+5.60 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Jonathan Schoop has hit the Hits Over in 7 of his last 8 games (+5.15 Units / 31% ROI)

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 18 games (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
  • Trevor Story has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 30 games at home (+8.75 Units / 17% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 12 games (+7.85 Units / 30% ROI)
  • J.D. Martinez has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games (+6.95 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Rafael Devers has hit the Singles Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+6.55 Units / 38% ROI)

Red Sox vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +900 0.5 -10000
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +400 0.5 -750
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +340 0.5 -600
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Trevor Story 0.5 +325 0.5 -550

Red Sox vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 -250 0.5 +165
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 -140 0.5 +100
J.D. Martinez 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Trevor Story 0.5 -200 0.5 +140

Red Sox vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alex Verdugo 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Bobby Dalbec 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
J.D. Martinez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Rob Refsnyder 0.5 +210 0.5 -300
Trevor Story 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Red Sox vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Tarik Skubal 5.5 -135 5.5 -105
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 65 games (+18.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 10 of their last 14 games (+6.90 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+4.40 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+2.40 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 3 of their last 5 away games (+1.60 Units / 28% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 32 of their last 49 games (+13.75 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 40 games (+13.20 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 68 games (+7.50 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 games (+6.90 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 34 of their last 62 games (+6.40 Units / 9% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 31-37 against the Run Line (-8.45 Units / -10.13% ROI).

  • 26-42 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -14.72% ROI
  • 23-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -30.41% ROI
  • 42-23 when betting on the total runs Under for +17 Units / 22.56% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 37-32 against the Run Line (+4.35 Units / 5% ROI).

  • 38-31 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.8 Units / 0.88% ROI
  • 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.85 Units / -14.13% ROI
  • 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.45 Units / 8.54% ROI

Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 35% (20 SO in 57 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.

Tarik Skubal has not allowed a walk in his last 92 PAs against a LHH dating back to July 30th, 2021 — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.

Tarik Skubal has a strike rate of 73% (164/226) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — 100th Percentile.

59% of Tarik Skubal’s called strikeouts are inside this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 33% — 89th Percentile.

Michael Wacha: Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (101/323) against Michael Wacha since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed a slugging percentage of just .148 (8 Total Bases / 54 ABs) versus the heart of the order this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .421 — 99th Percentile.

Michael Wacha has allowed an OPS of just .358 (62 PA’s) versus the heart of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .739 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 39% (301/764) against Michael Wacha on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Tigers are just 2-31 (.061) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .205.

The Tigers are just 9-20 (.310) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.

The Tigers are just 2-18 (.100) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

The Tigers are just 3-15 (.167) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .281.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Red Sox are just 124-19 (.867) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2020 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .917.

The Red Sox are just 31-6 (.838) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .903.

The Red Sox are just 0-22 (.000) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .073.

The Red Sox are 19-15 (.559) on the road this season — tied for 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .573 (1,028 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .693.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .313 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .391.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .610 (2,407 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .429 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters are slugging .443 against RHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .404.

The Red Sox are batting .277 at home since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .247.

Red Sox hitters have a Well-Hit Avg of .345 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .284.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH this season (1,681 balls in play) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 90.1 MPH (1,681 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Red Sox pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 21% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Red Sox pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 30% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 3.25 (299.1 IP) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.15.

Red Sox vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • James Paxton (Red Sox): Elbow, D60
  • Nathan Eovaldi (Red Sox): Back, D15
  • Garrett Whitlock (Red Sox): Hip, D15
  • Enrique Hernández (Red Sox): Hip, D10
  • Matthew Barnes (Red Sox): Shoulder, D15
  • Christian Arroyo (Red Sox): COVID-19, D10
  • Christopher Sale (Red Sox): Rib, D60
  • Josh Taylor (Red Sox): Back, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Dazmon Cameron (Tigers): COVID-19, D10
  • Michael Pineda (Tigers): Finger, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.