- The Rockies are -125 favorites vs the Tigers
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Rockies starting pitcher: Connor Seabold
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-125) on Sunday, July 2, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 3:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Rockies are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Tigers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 36-46 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 39-46 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -175 | O 11.5 -110 | +105 |
| Rockies | -1.5 +145 | U 11.5 -110 | -125 |
Tigers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 52.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 16 of his last 19 away games (+11.40 Units / 39% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 33 of his last 49 games (+8.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 games (+7.85 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 37 games (+13.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 25 of his last 37 games (+12.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ryan McMahon has hit the RBIs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 45% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the RBIs Over in 9 of his last 13 games at home (+10.35 Units / 80% ROI)
Rockies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -165 |
| Jurickson Profar | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -200 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 1.5 +155 | 1.5 -210 |
Rockies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Brenton Doyle | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
Rockies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
| Connor Seabold | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 59 games (+11.25 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 71 games (+9.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 23 of their last 40 away games (+7.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 16 games (+6.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 24 of their last 40 away games (+6.35 Units / 13% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 73 games (+10.45 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 37 games at home (+9.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 31 games at home (+6.85 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 31 games at home (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 31 games at home (+2.25 Units / 7% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 43-39 against the Run Line (-1.45 Units / -1.43% ROI).
- 36-46 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.4 Units / 5.15% ROI
- 45-35 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.05 Units / 6.61% ROI
- 35-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.85 Units / -15.56% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 39-46 against the Run Line (-10.85 Units / -10.89% ROI).
- 33-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -9.19% ROI
- 37-48 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.8 Units / -16.74% ROI
- 48-37 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.15 Units / 8.79% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 138 opportunities (4%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 0 Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 7.2 innings pitched — Elvis Peguero has the longest active streak at 21.1.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (242/1,276) against Matt Manning since the 2021 season — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Matt Manning has thrown fastballs 62% of the time (827/1,333) vs left-handed batters since the 2021 season — 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 162 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 95th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Connor Seabold has allowed a slugging percentage of .605 (46 Total Bases / 76 ABs) on sliders this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .391 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 16% (33/206) against Connor Seabold this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 24% — third Percentile.
Connor Seabold has a strikeout rate of just 31% (46 SO in 149 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Connor Seabold has allowed an OBP of .453 (64 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 32 total IP; League Avg: .309 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Tigers are just 16-99 (.139) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .202.
The Tigers are just 10-14 (.417) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Tigers are just 17-67 (.202) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are just 99-124 (.444) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rockies are just 22-9 (.710) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
The Rockies are just 34-17 (.667) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rockies are just 21-66 (.241) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Rockies are just 5-20 (.200) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .285 (6,759 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .340 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .620 (2,810 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .691.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .299 (4,365 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies have won just 51% of games in which they have scored in at least three different innings on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.2 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 59% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 61% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have 308 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 5th fewest in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 84 of 740 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 209 of 2,171 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have an ERA of 6.61 (190.2 IP) against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.28.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Matthew Carasiti (Rockies): Shoulder inflammation, D15
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Reese Olson (Tigers): Knee, Day-to-Day
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