- The Tigers are -115 favorites vs the Rockies
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Rockies starting pitcher: Austin Gomber
- Watch the game on SportsNet RM
The Detroit Tigers (-115) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-105) on Friday, June 30, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Denver.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+135).
The Tigers vs Rockies Over/Under is 11 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 35-45 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 38-45 ATS.
Tigers vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +135 | O 11 -105 | -115 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -160 | U 11 -115 | -105 |
Tigers vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 57.5% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Rockies and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.00 Units / 53% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.40 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 14 away games (+10.30 Units / 31% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 22 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+13.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+12.20 Units / 21% ROI)
- Ezequiel Tovar has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+10.90 Units / 32% ROI)
- Nolan Jones has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.05 Units / 64% ROI)
- Coco Montes has hit the Runs Under in his last 9 games (+9.00 Units / 48% ROI)
Rockies vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Rockies vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Randal Grichuk | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +125 | 1.5 -160 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Rockies vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Randal Grichuk | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Jonathan Schoop | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jurickson Profar | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rockies vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Gomber | 3.5 -125 | 3.5 -105 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -160 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 57 games (+11.40 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 69 games (+9.20 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+8.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 38 away games (+7.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 38 away games (+5.95 Units / 12% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 71 games (+10.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Team Total Under in 23 of their last 35 games at home (+9.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 29 games at home (+7.40 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 29 games at home (+6.95 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 29 games at home (+1.25 Units / 4% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 42-38 against the Run Line (-1.85 Units / -1.86% ROI).
- 35-45 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.6 Units / 5.53% ROI
- 44-34 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.2 Units / 6.95% ROI
- 34-44 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.75 Units / -15.83% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rockies have gone 38-45 against the Run Line (-10.25 Units / -10.62% ROI).
- 32-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -8 Units / -9.3% ROI
- 36-47 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.65 Units / -16.98% ROI
- 47-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +8.25 Units / 9.11% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has allowed three-ball counts to 9% of batters they faced (12/130 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen allowed a batting average of .304 vs right-handed batters (ninth worst)– seventh Percentile and just .200 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for ninth best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has walked 24 of 180 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has not walked any of the 26 batters that he has faced against right-handed batters — tied for best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 6% — 100th Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Austin Gomber has an ERA of 6.53 (114.1 IP) at home since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 96 total IP; League Avg: 3.81 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .825 (47 Total Bases / 57 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .438 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has an ERA of 8.72 (42.1 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: 4.14 — first Percentile.
Austin Gomber has allowed a slugging percentage of .852 (46 Total Bases / 54 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 31 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Tigers are just 39-52 (.429) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Tigers are just 9-14 (.391) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .565.
The Tigers are 12-5 (.706) after a loss as favorites since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .591.
The Tigers are just 55-85 (.393) after a loss since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rockies are just 21-8 (.724) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Rockies are just 66-32 (.673) when scoring 5 or more runs since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .798.
The Rockies are just 5-20 (.200) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Rockies are just 23-57 (.288) after a road loss since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .452.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .623 (6,706 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,706 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .339 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .641 (8,835 PA’s) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have an average HR distance of 412.3 feet since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 398.7.
The Rockies are batting .281 at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
The Rockies are batting .280 at home since the 2021 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 57% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 229 of 2,979 batters (8%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have 301 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Rockies pitchers have walked 84 of 712 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have walked 209 of 2,143 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rockies vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Sean Bouchard (Rockies): Biceps, D60
- Kristopher Bryant (Rockies): Heel, D10
- Charles Blackmon (Rockies): Hand, D10
- Antonio Senzatela (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Feltner (Rockies): Skull, D60
- Brent Suter (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Germán Márquez (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Brendan Rodgers (Rockies): Shoulder, D60
- Tyler Kinley (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Lucas Gilbreath (Rockies): Elbow, D60
- Nicolaus Mears (Rockies): Oblique, D15
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Riley Greene (Tigers): Fibula, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Alexander Faedo (Tigers): Finger, D15
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Tigers): Finger, D10
- Akil Baddoo (Tigers): Quad, D10
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Reese Olson (Tigers): Knee, Day-to-Day
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