- The Royals (32-52) are -135 favorites vs the Tigers (36-49)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Alexander Faedo (1-4), 5.01 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch (3-7), 4.94 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (+115) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on Monday, July 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+145).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 36-49 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 36-48 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -175 | O 8.5 +100 | +115 |
| Royals | -1.5 +145 | U 8.5 -120 | -135 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s matchup with 58.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 15 away games (+9.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Jonathan Schoop has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games (+8.20 Units / 93% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- MJ Melendez has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games at home (+9.15 Units / 22% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 22 games (+9.10 Units / 28% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 19 games (+8.10 Units / 24% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -450 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -600 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +1150 | 0.5 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -650 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +140 | 1.5 -200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +145 | 1.5 -200 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +165 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 1.5 +180 | 1.5 -275 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -275 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +100 | 0.5 -145 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nicky Lopez | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -350 |
| Vinnie Pasquantino | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brad Keller | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -160 |
| Michael Pineda | 2.5 -125 | 2.5 -115 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 50 of their last 82 games (+20.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 21 of their last 31 games (+11.05 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 53 games (+9.05 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 16 games (+4.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 games (+4.65 Units / 58% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 30 games (+8.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 22 of their last 38 games at home (+5.55 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+5.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 games (+4.75 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 11 games (+2.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-44 against the Run Line (-7.6 Units / -7.19% ROI).
- 36-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.2 Units / -4.58% ROI
- 29-51 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.55 Units / -28.41% ROI
- 51-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.55 Units / 20.79% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 36-48 against the Run Line (-24.4 Units / -21.38% ROI).
- 32-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.75 Units / -17.52% ROI
- 41-39 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.6 Units / -1.74% ROI
- 39-41 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.35 Units / -6.81% ROI
Alexander Faedo: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Pineda has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 93.6 MPH on pitches in the strike zone since the start of last season (358 balls in play) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 90.8
Michael Pineda has walked 27 of 587 batters (5%) since the start of last season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Michael Pineda has a strike rate of 68% (1,484/2,179) since the start of last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 96th Percentile.
Michael Pineda has thrown his fastball for a strike 75% (911/1,216) of the time since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 67% — 99th Percentile.
Daniel A. Lynch: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (16/111) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has struck out just 14% (30/213) of right-handed batters he faced this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fourth Percentile.
Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 54% (208/383) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strikeout rate of just 15% (59 SO in 383 PAs) this season — 4th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — fifth Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 36-41 (.468) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Tigers are just 3-35 (.079) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .207.
The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 0-25 (.000) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .113.
The Royals are 6-3 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — 6th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (2,270 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (6,501 PA’s) against RHP since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (2,270 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .266 (1,391 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 480 strikeouts in 2,543 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have just 581 strikeouts in 3,004 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of 2020 — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have won just 50% of games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .342 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the past seven days (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the start of last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 926 of 9,403 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Whitley Merrifield (Royals): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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