Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 12

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 12, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Tigers (36-51) are +100 favorites vs the Royals (34-52)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (2-6), 4.16 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-6), 6.84 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).

The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 36-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-48 ATS.

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +155O 8.5 +100+100
Royals +1.5 -190U 8.5 -120-120

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+2.20 Units / 37% ROI)

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +350 0.5 -650
Edward Olivares 0.5 +600 0.5 -1600
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +625 0.5 -1600
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +160 1.5 -225
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +160 1.5 -250
Edward Olivares 0.5 -200 0.5 +145
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -250 0.5 +170

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +155 0.5 -225
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +120 0.5 -165
Edward Olivares 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +145 0.5 -200

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Kris Bubic 4.5 +120 4.5 -175
Beau Brieske 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+20.55 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 55 games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 48% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 35% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-46 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -10% ROI).

  • 36-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -6.62% ROI
  • 30-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.7 Units / -27.91% ROI
  • 52-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 20.16% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-48 against the Run Line (-21.4 Units / -18.43% ROI).

  • 34-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -14.86% ROI
  • 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.86% ROI
  • 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -6.81% ROI

Beau Brieske has allowed a .500 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .293 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 11th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.

Beau Brieske has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — the longest active streak is 18.2.

Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (15/102) against Beau Brieske this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (108/608) against Beau Brieske this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.

Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kris Bubic has walked 9 of 46 batters (20%) this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.123 (298 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .769 — 0 Percentile.

Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (176 Total Bases / 255 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.

Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .353 against Kris Bubic since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .261 — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 3-36 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.

The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

The Tigers are just 14-27 (.341) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 1-25 (.038) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.

The Royals are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.

The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 14-41 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,462 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,315 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .594 (2,315 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

The Tigers are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.

Royals hitters are slugging just .343 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

Royals hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,562 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters have just 154 strikeouts in 869 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 67 of 762 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.

Royals pitchers have walked 337 of 3,347 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Whitley Merrifield (Royals): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, Day-to-Day
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.