- The Tigers (36-51) are +100 favorites vs the Royals (34-52)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Beau Brieske (2-6), 4.16 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Kristofer Bubic (1-6), 6.84 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Tuesday, July 12, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 36-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-48 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 +100 | +100 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -120 | -120 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Tuesday‘s matchup with 59.2% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 21 games (+7.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+6.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+6.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Under in 8 of his last 13 games (+1.90 Units / 10% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 12 games at home (+7.35 Units / 45% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+7.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 8 of his last 14 games (+3.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Over in 3 of his last 6 games at home (+2.20 Units / 37% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -650 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +160 | 1.5 -250 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +145 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +155 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -165 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -275 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kris Bubic | 4.5 +120 | 4.5 -175 |
| Beau Brieske | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 84 games (+20.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 22 of their last 33 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 55 games (+7.05 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 10 games (+2.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 18 games (+2.20 Units / 11% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 32 games (+10.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+6.75 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 games (+5.95 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.95 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 8 of their last 11 games (+4.65 Units / 38% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 41-46 against the Run Line (-10.9 Units / -10% ROI).
- 36-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -6.62% ROI
- 30-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.7 Units / -27.91% ROI
- 52-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +19.4 Units / 20.16% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-48 against the Run Line (-21.4 Units / -18.43% ROI).
- 34-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.75 Units / -14.86% ROI
- 42-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.75 Units / -1.86% ROI
- 40-42 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.5 Units / -6.81% ROI
Beau Brieske: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Beau Brieske has allowed a .500 SLG vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .293 vs left-handed batters this season (tied for 11th best among non-qualified SPs)– 90th Percentile.
Beau Brieske has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 12.0 innings pitched — the longest active streak is 18.2.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 15% (15/102) against Beau Brieske this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (108/608) against Beau Brieske this season — tied for 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 42 total IP; League Avg: 25% — fifth Percentile.
Kristofer Bubic: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kris Bubic has walked 9 of 46 batters (20%) this month (2 games) — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed an OPS of 1.123 (298 PA’s) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .769 — 0 Percentile.
Kris Bubic has allowed a slugging percentage of .690 (176 Total Bases / 255 ABs) versus the top of the order since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .442 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters batting in the top of the order have hit .353 against Kris Bubic since the start of last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: .261 — second Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 3-36 (.077) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
The Tigers are just 3-4 (.429) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 14-27 (.341) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 1-25 (.038) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .336.
The Royals are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Royals are 4-1 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Royals are just 14-41 (.255) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .297.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .580 (1,462 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,315 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .594 (2,315 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
The Tigers are batting just .291 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .337.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging just .343 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Royals hitters have just 482 strikeouts in 2,562 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 154 strikeouts in 869 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 67 of 762 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 60% of opposing batters this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 63%.
Royals pitchers have walked 337 of 3,347 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Whitley Merrifield (Royals): Toe, Day-to-Day
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, Day-to-Day
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
- Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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