- The Tigers (37-51) are +100 favorites vs the Royals (34-53)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (6-7), 3.99 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (3-3), 4.24 ERA
- Watch the game on MLB Network
The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 37-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-49 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +165 | O 8 -115 | +100 |
| Royals | +1.5 -200 | U 8 -105 | -120 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -650 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +185 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -225 |
| Edward Olivares | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| Emmanuel Rivera | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +115 |
| Tarik Skubal | 4.5 -130 | 4.5 -110 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 42-46 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -8.92% ROI).
- 37-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -5.49% ROI
- 31-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -26.54% ROI
- 52-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 18.92% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-49 against the Run Line (-22.4 Units / -19.13% ROI).
- 34-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -15.95% ROI
- 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.79% ROI
- 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -7.78% ROI
Tarik Skubal: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .371 (23-for-62) against Tarik Skubal on inside fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .136 (9-for-66) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (125/266) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 44% (266/607) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 52% — fourth Percentile.
Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 46% of Brady Singer’s pitches (29/63) with two-strikes — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,049/1,731) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (195/856) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.
Brady Singer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 19th — Jose Urquidy has the longest active streak at 10.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.
The Tigers are just 10-25 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Tigers are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 1-25 (.038) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
The Royals are just 4-40 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
The Royals are just 34-44 (.436) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,330 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,150 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .336 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,505 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters are slugging just .339 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.
Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters have just 484 strikeouts in 2,570 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 44% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,207 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have walked 340 of 3,390 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
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