Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 13

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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 13, 2022, 11:00 AM
  • The Tigers (37-51) are +100 favorites vs the Royals (34-53)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal (6-7), 3.99 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (3-3), 4.24 ERA
  • Watch the game on MLB Network

The Detroit Tigers (+100) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-120) on Wednesday, July 13, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Tigers are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 37-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 38-49 ATS.

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers-1.5 +165O 8 -115+100
Royals +1.5 -200U 8 -105-120

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s matchup with 66.3% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 22 games (+8.70 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+7.45 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 23 games (+7.15 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Runs Under in 9 of his last 14 games (+2.90 Units / 14% ROI)
  • Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

    And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 games (+8.90 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.15 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 10 of his last 13 games at home (+5.90 Units / 33% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Total Bases Over in 9 of his last 15 games (+4.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the RBIs Over in 4 of his last 7 games at home (+3.60 Units / 51% ROI)
  • Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +775 0.5 -3000
    Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +360 0.5 -650
    Edward Olivares 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
    Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +500 0.5 -1100
    Hunter Dozier 0.5 +425 0.5 -800

    Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
    Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 -275 0.5 +185
    Edward Olivares 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
    Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
    Hunter Dozier 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

    Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +175 0.5 -250
    Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -225
    Edward Olivares 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
    Emmanuel Rivera 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
    Hunter Dozier 0.5 +150 0.5 -200

    Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

    Over Under
    Brady Singer 4.5 -160 4.5 +115
    Tarik Skubal 4.5 -130 4.5 -110
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 51 of their last 85 games (+19.55 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 23 of their last 34 games (+11.90 Units / 32% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 28 of their last 56 games (+8.05 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 19 games (+3.20 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 20 of their last 35 away games (+1.95 Units / 4% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games (+9.90 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 26 games at home (+6.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games (+5.65 Units / 42% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games (+5.50 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 14 games (+4.95 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 42-46 against the Run Line (-9.9 Units / -8.92% ROI).

    • 37-51 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.2 Units / -5.49% ROI
    • 31-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -25.7 Units / -26.54% ROI
    • 52-31 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.4 Units / 18.92% ROI

    Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

    Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 38-49 against the Run Line (-22.4 Units / -19.13% ROI).

    • 34-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -15.95% ROI
    • 43-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.75 Units / -0.79% ROI
    • 40-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.5 Units / -7.78% ROI

    Opponents are hitting .371 (23-for-62) against Tarik Skubal on inside fastballs this season — 5th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .264 — 10th Percentile.

    Opponents are hitting just .136 (9-for-66) against Tarik Skubal’s elevated fastball this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .226 — 100th Percentile.

    Opponents have a miss rate of 47% (125/266) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 98th Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 44% (266/607) against Tarik Skubal on changeups since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 52% — fourth Percentile.

    Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

    Hitters have swung at 46% of Brady Singer’s pitches (29/63) with two-strikes — tied for lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 62% — second Percentile.

    Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,049/1,731) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

    Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (195/856) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 123 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

    Brady Singer has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to June 19th — Jose Urquidy has the longest active streak at 10.

    Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

    The Tigers are just 15-27 (.357) on the road this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .478.

    The Tigers are just 3-18 (.143) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .293.

    The Tigers are just 10-25 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 8th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

    The Tigers are 8-6 (.571) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

    Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

    The Royals are just 1-25 (.038) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

    The Royals are just 1-43 (.023) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.

    The Royals are just 4-40 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.

    The Royals are just 34-44 (.436) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .536.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .275 (2,330 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .287 (3,150 PA’s) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.

    Tigers hitters are slugging just .336 this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .395.

    Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .267 (1,505 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .308.

    Royals hitters are slugging just .339 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .443.

    Royals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

    Royals hitters have just 484 strikeouts in 2,570 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    The Royals have won just 44% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 77%.

    The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 62% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

    Tigers pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 89.8 MPH (2,207 batted balls) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 88.7.

    Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% over the last 14 days (15 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% this month (14 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

    Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

    Royals pitchers have walked 340 of 3,390 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

    Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D15
  • Michael A. Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, Day-to-Day
  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Whitley Merrifield (Royals): Toe, Day-to-Day
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, Day-to-Day
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Achilles , D10
  • Wily Peralta (Tigers): Hamstring, D15
  • Matthew Manning (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • José Cisnero (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Right Shoulder, D15
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

    Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.