- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning
- Royals starting pitcher: Jordan Lyles
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+115) on Monday, July 17, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 9.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 41-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 35-59 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +120 | O 9.5 -120 | -135 |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | U 9.5 +100 | +115 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 61.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+12.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 27 games (+10.60 Units / 36% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.40 Units / 29% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 26 games (+8.75 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.50 Units / 32% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.30 Units / 59% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 13 games (+10.90 Units / 53% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +210 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Kerry Carpenter | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Lyles | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -135 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 -160 | 3.5 +125 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 26 games (+10.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 69 games (+9.95 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 81 games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 44 away games (+9.20 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 27 of their last 44 away games (+7.95 Units / 14% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 52 of their last 90 games (+8.75 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 73 games (+6.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+5.30 Units / 106% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 97% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 7 games at home (+3.70 Units / 53% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 49-43 against the Run Line (-0.05 Units / -0.04% ROI).
- 41-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.7 Units / 4.79% ROI
- 49-40 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.75 Units / 4.65% ROI
- 40-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.2 Units / -13.16% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 35-59 against the Run Line (-33.9 Units / -29.49% ROI).
- 27-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -29.05 Units / -29.75% ROI
- 43-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.15 Units / -10.77% ROI
- 49-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.45 Units / 1.4% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Matt Manning has not allowed a home run in any of the last 19.1 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Matt Manning has induced opposing hitters to ground into just 5 double plays in 148 opportunities (3%) since the 2021 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 11% — 0 Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed no extra-base hits in his last 8.1 innings pitched — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 23.0.
The last hit on a Matt Manning breaking pitch was July 2nd. Hitters are 0 for their last 15 in ABs ending on his breaking pitches. — Kevin Kelly has the longest active streak at 25.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OPS of 1.353 (75 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .700 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed an OBP of .480 (75 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .312 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has an ERA of 6.42 (96.2 IP)this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.87 — first Percentile.
Jordan Lyles has allowed a slugging percentage of just .047 (2 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on fastballs away this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 43-54 (.443) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Tigers are just 10-42 (.192) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
The Tigers are just 18-69 (.207) when allowing 10 or more hits since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Tigers are 16-5 (.762) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .612.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 6-23 (.207) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .612.
The Royals are just 7-70 (.091) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .356.
The Royals are just 6-12 (.333) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .686.
The Royals are just 26-66 (.283) this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,026 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .621 (2,927 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .692.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (7,026 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .279 (423 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .326.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have 8 strikeouts in 20 PA’s (40%) against LHP over the last 14 days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Royals have won just 29% of games in which they have scored first on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .220 (1,894 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 264 of 3,462 batters (8%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have won 38% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 13% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have an ERA of 5.25 (817.1 IP) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.30.
Royals pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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