- The Tigers are -175 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal
- Royals starting pitcher: Daniel A. Lynch
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-175) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+145) on Tuesday, July 18, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (-105).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 42-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 36-59 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 -105 | O 8 +100 | -175 |
| Royals | +1.5 -115 | U 8 -120 | +145 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+12.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+9.50 Units / 18% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+9.45 Units / 18% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 24 away games (+9.15 Units / 25% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 15 of his last 16 games (+12.50 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- Matt Duffy has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 14 games (+10.25 Units / 57% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +130 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Freddy Fermin | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Daniel Lynch | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Tarik Skubal | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 82 games (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 27 games (+9.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 70 games (+8.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 45 away games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games (+7.75 Units / 35% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 91 games (+9.75 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 74 games (+7.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+6.35 Units / 106% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 6 games at home (+6.20 Units / 93% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 8 games at home (+2.70 Units / 34% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 49-44 against the Run Line (-1.05 Units / -0.91% ROI).
- 42-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.7 Units / 5.73% ROI
- 49-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 3.58% ROI
- 41-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -12.03% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 36-59 against the Run Line (-32.9 Units / -28.28% ROI).
- 27-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -30.05 Units / -30.46% ROI
- 43-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.2 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 50-43 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.45 Units / 2.35% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed three-ball counts to 1% of batters they faced (4/397 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 10% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has pitched 26.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Tarik Skubal has not allowed a HR in any of his last six starts dating back to July 13rd, 2022 — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 12.
Tarik Skubal has not allowed a home run in any of the last 36.2 innings he’s appeared — Jose Quintana has the longest active streak at 67.1.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Daniel Lynch has allowed a slugging percentage of .518 (115 Total Bases / 222 ABs) on breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .371 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .454 (44-for-97) against Daniel Lynch on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .343 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (27/77) against Daniel Lynch on low breaking pitches since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .293 (65-for-222) against Daniel Lynch’s curve and slider since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: .223 — first Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are just 27-40 (.403) after a home loss since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .513.
The Tigers are just 8-12 (.400) when tied entering the 8th inning since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 30-18 (.625) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Tigers are just 17-101 (.144) when allowing 5 or more runs since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .203.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 6-21 (.222) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Royals are just 11-31 (.262) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Royals are just 11-33 (.250) after a road win since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Royals are just 7-12 (.368) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .684.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .626 (7,062 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,062 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .277 (426 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .221 (1,916 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Royals are batting just .200 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .278 (1,703 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 266 of 3,496 batters (8%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 12% when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 20%.
The Royals have won just 12% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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