- The Tigers are -150 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Eduardo Rodriguez
- Royals starting pitcher: Ryan Yarbrough
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-150) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+125) on Wednesday, July 19, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+110).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 42-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 37-59 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -150 |
| Royals | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +125 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB matchup with 70.7% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 20 games (+11.20 Units / 41% ROI)
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Over in 27 of his last 49 games (+9.60 Units / 18% ROI)
- Zack Short has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+9.15 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- MJ Melendez has hit the RBIs Under in 16 of his last 17 games (+13.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+12.60 Units / 33% ROI)
- Vinnie Pasquantino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Isbel has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+11.60 Units / 24% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 22 games at home (+10.25 Units / 23% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -1600 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +875 | 0.5 -5000 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Andy Ibanez | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -225 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -225 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Dairon Blanco | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eduardo Rodriguez | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +115 |
| Ryan Yarbrough | 3.5 +105 | 3.5 -135 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 41 of their last 71 games (+9.90 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 83 games (+8.65 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 15 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 away games (+7.10 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 14 of their last 21 games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 53 of their last 92 games (+8.40 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games at home (+7.60 Units / 109% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 7 games at home (+7.20 Units / 91% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 42 of their last 75 games (+6.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+4.20 Units / 47% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 49-45 against the Run Line (-2.1 Units / -1.8% ROI).
- 42-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.05 Units / 4.01% ROI
- 50-41 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.7 Units / 4.5% ROI
- 41-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.3 Units / -12.97% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 37-59 against the Run Line (-31.9 Units / -27.15% ROI).
- 28-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -28.55 Units / -28.65% ROI
- 44-50 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.2 Units / -10.6% ROI
- 50-44 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.35 Units / 1.28% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .115 (6 Total Bases / 52 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .398 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .115 (6-for-52) against Eduardo Rodriguez’s elevated fastball this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .229 — 98th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 19% (3/16) against Eduardo Rodriguez — 4th lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 43% — fifth Percentile.
Eduardo Rodriguez has allowed a slugging percentage of just .145 (23 Total Bases / 159 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 37 total IP; League Avg: .277 — 97th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Yarbrough has averaged 71.5 MPH on sliders since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 85.1 — 0 Percentile.
Ryan Yarbrough has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 74.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since last season (91 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 101 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Ryan Yarbrough has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 81.3 MPH on the 172 breaking pitches put in play against him since the 2021 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 166 total IP; League Avg: 87.3.
Ryan Yarbrough has an average fastball velocity of just 86.9 MPH since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 102 total IP; League Avg: 93.4 — 0 Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 15-6 (.714) after a loss as favorites since last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Tigers are just 17-25 (.405) after a win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Tigers are just 7-12 (.368) after a road win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .498.
The Tigers are just 44-55 (.444) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 6-21 (.222) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.
The Royals are just 27-59 (.314) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .537.
The Royals are just 7-23 (.233) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .609.
The Royals are just 8-70 (.103) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .357.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .342 against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .399.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .627 (7,084 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .284 (7,084 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .287 (2,558 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Royals have won just 39% of games in which they have scored first this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 67%.
The Royals are batting just .202 with two outs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 268 of 3,534 batters (8%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 64% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 20% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Royals pitchers have won only 14% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Royals pitchers have won only 11% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Royals have won just 14% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Vincent Pasquantino (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Donald Greinke (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Matthew Beaty (Royals): Concussion, D7
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Hamstring, Day-to-Day
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Neck, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Josh Taylor (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- William Vest (Tigers): Leg, D15
- Tyler Alexander (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D60
- Matthew Boyd (Tigers): Elbow, D60
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