Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, May 10

Kansas City Royals' Bobby Witt Jr. celebrates a double against the Detroit Tigers during the fifth inning of a baseball game in Kansas City, Mo., Sunday, June 1, 2025.
(AP Photo/Reed Hoffmann)
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The Detroit Tigers (+110) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-135) on May 10, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 18-22 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 19-20 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Tigers starting pitcher: Brenan Hanifee 0-0, 0.00 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Noah Cameron 2-2, 5.40 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -190O 8 -102+110
Royals -1.5 +155U 8 -118-135

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Wenceel Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+11.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Spencer Torkelson has hit the Singles Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+10.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 9 away games (+10.15 Units / 113% ROI)
  • Matt Vierling has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 away games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Riley Greene has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 25 games (+8.40 Units / 34% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+17.00 Units / 283% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+14.55 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Lane Thomas has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+11.50 Units / 42% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+10.65 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Starling Marte has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 54% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 22 of their last 35 away games (+8.90 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 24 away games (+6.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 games (+3.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 9 games (+0.70 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 11 of their last 13 games at home (+8.95 Units / 59% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+8.30 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+7.50 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 15 games (+6.60 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 10 of their last 15 games at home (+5.85 Units / 26% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 17-20 against the Run Line (-3.1 Units / -6.2% ROI).

  • 18-22 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -15.29% ROI
  • 18-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -9.16% ROI
  • 20-18 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.35 Units / 0.8% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 19-20 against the Run Line (-4.05 Units / -7.51% ROI).

  • 19-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.3 Units / -10.91% ROI
  • 16-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.25 Units / -23.24% ROI
  • 24-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +6.65 Units / 15.15% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Yes
Spencer Torkelson +500
Salvador Perez +550
Vinnie Pasquantino +575
Bobby Witt Jr. +600
Riley Greene +600

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Maikel Garcia 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Matt Vierling 0.5 -275 0.5 +190
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Riley Greene 0.5 -220 0.5 +160
Vinnie Pasquantino 0.5 -200 0.5 +150

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Carter Jensen 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Hao-Yu Lee 0.5 -210 0.5 +155
Dillon Dingler 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Isaac Collins 0.5 -185 0.5 +135
Matt Vierling 0.5 -175 0.5 +130

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 1-8 (.111) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .371.

The Tigers are just 6-16 (.273) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .465.

The Tigers are 5-16 (.238) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .105.

The Tigers are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 14-4 (.778) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.

The Royals are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Royals are 73-7 (.912) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .210 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 26% of pitches out of the zone against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

33% of Royals hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

The Royals are batting just .210 on the road this season — lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of 1.294 (287 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 65% of opposing batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 10 home runs at home this season — fewest in MLB.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have allowed three-ball counts to 24% of batters they faced (361/1,505 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 11% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:


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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.