- The Tigers are -105 favorites vs the Royals
- Tigers starting pitcher: Michael Lorenzen
- Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (-105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-115) on Monday, May 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Tigers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8.5 total runs for the game.
This season, the Tigers are 20-24 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 18-30 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | -1.5 +155 | O 8.5 -105 | -105 |
| Royals | +1.5 -190 | U 8.5 -115 | -115 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Monday‘s MLB matchup with 56.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Kerry Carpenter has hit the Singles Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 62% ROI)
- Jake Rogers has hit the Singles Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 11 of his last 12 away games (+10.35 Units / 44% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 21 away games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+10.05 Units / 44% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Nick Pratto has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.70 Units / 48% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Runs Over in his last 7 games at home (+11.05 Units / 158% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Singles Over in his last 8 games at home (+11.05 Units / 136% ROI)
- MJ Melendez has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 57% ROI)
- Nick Pratto has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games (+9.20 Units / 38% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +900 | 0.5 -5000 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -3000 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -2500 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -1100 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -120 | 0.5 -105 |
| Javier Baez | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Riley Greene | 1.5 +190 | 1.5 -250 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andy Ibanez | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Eric Haase | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Javier Baez | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Riley Greene | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brady Singer | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Michael Lorenzen | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 33 games (+10.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.30 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 9 of their last 12 away games (+5.60 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.00 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 13 of their last 21 games (+4.00 Units / 17% ROI)
Royals Best Bets Today:
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+7.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 5 games at home (+5.20 Units / 92% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+4.35 Units / 84% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 44 games (+3.65 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games at home (+3.40 Units / 65% ROI)
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 24-20 against the Run Line (+0.5 Units / 0.92% ROI).
- 20-24 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.85 Units / 12.97% ROI
- 22-21 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.2 Units / -2.44% ROI
- 21-22 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.7 Units / -5.66% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Royals have gone 18-30 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -28.89% ROI).
- 14-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.1 Units / -30.57% ROI
- 21-25 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.6 Units / -12.48% ROI
- 25-21 when betting on the total runs Under for +1.8 Units / 3.42% ROI
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Michael Lorenzen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 23.0 innings he’s appeared — Zac Gallen has the longest active streak at 51.2.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (2-for-15) against Michael Lorenzen on low fastballs this season — tied for 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: .279 — 94th Percentile.
Michael Lorenzen has pitched 12.2 straight innings without allowing an earned run — Chris Bassitt has the longest active streak at 27.1.
Michael Lorenzen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .250 (26 Total Bases / 104 ABs) when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 82 total IP; League Avg: .436 — 100th Percentile.
Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brady Singer has an ERA of 7.09 (45.2 IP)this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.84 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 67% (31/46) against Brady Singer on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 61% (88/145) against Brady Singer this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Brady Singer has thrown inside pitches 55% of the time (248/454) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Tigers are just 2-3 (.400) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .560.
The Tigers are 11-2 (.846) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .611.
The Tigers are 17-2 (.895) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .800.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 5-57 (.081) when their opponents score in the first inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .349.
The Royals are just 6-17 (.261) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Royals are just 1-16 (.059) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .389.
The Royals are just 14-30 (.318) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .603 (2,361 PA’s) in innings 7-9 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .688.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .615 (5,632 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .707.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .281 (5,632 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .347 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 26% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 53%.
The Royals have a winning percentage of just 29% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .276 (911 PA’s) on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Royals hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,345 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 120 of 1,650 batters (7%) this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have won just 11% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Royals have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Royals have won just 19% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .322 against Royals pitchers with the shift this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Kyle Isbel (Royals): Hamstring, D10
- Nicholas Lopez (Royals): Appendicitis, D10
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Elbow, D60
- Kristofer Bubic (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Ryan Yarbrough (Royals): Head, D60
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Brad Keller (Royals): Shoulder, D15
- Drew Waters (Royals): Oblique, D10
- Diego Hernandez (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Anxiety, D60
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Matthew Manning (Tigers): Foot, D60
- Anthony Wingenter (Tigers): Biceps, D15
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Kerry Carpenter (Tigers): Shoulder, D10
- Freddy Pacheco (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Neck, D15
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