• The Royals are -145 favorites vs the Tigers
• Tigers vs Royals Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
• Tigers / Royals TV Channel: RYTV | DSN

The Detroit Tigers (+118) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-145) on May 9, 2026. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10 pm in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Tigers are 18-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 18-20 ATS.

Tigers vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

• Tigers starting pitcher: Burch Smith 0-1, 1.59 ERA
• Royals starting pitcher: Michael Wacha 3-2, 3.07 ERA

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Royals will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.

Bet now on Tigers vs Royals and all games with BetMGM

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today:

• Riley Greene has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games (+10.55 Units / 42% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 45% ROI)
• Riley Greene has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 20 games (+9.00 Units / 39% ROI)
• Dillon Dingler has hit the Hits Under in 7 of his last 10 away games (+8.85 Units / 88% ROI)
• Colt Keith has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 away games (+8.00 Units / 38% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

• Isaac Collins has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 games at home (+17.00 Units / 283% ROI)
• Carter Jensen has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 10 games (+11.20 Units / 81% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Runs Over in 7 of his last 8 games at home (+10.40 Units / 130% ROI)
• Isaac Collins has hit the Singles Over in 11 of his last 15 games at home (+9.85 Units / 66% ROI)
• Michael Massey has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in his last 8 games at home (+8.40 Units / 85% ROI)

Tigers Best Bets Today:

• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 21 of their last 35 away games (+6.80 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 13 of their last 19 games (+6.50 Units / 29% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 50 away games (+5.95 Units / 10% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 25 games (+5.15 Units / 18% ROI)
• The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 25 games (+2.75 Units / 9% ROI)

Royals Best Bets Today:

• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 20 of their last 30 games (+8.45 Units / 23% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Over in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+7.95 Units / 57% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.75 Units / 43% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.60 Units / 35% ROI)
• The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 14 games at home (+4.85 Units / 23% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 17-19 against the Run Line (-1.35 Units / -2.8% ROI).

• 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.7 Units / -13.58% ROI
• 18-19 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.95 Units / -6.84% ROI
• 19-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.65 Units / -1.52% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are 18-20 against the Run Line (-5.6 Units / -10.59% ROI).

• 18-21 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -13.33% ROI
• 16-23 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.15 Units / -21.28% ROI
• 23-16 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 13.2% ROI

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are just 1-7 (.125) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .372.

The Tigers are just 12-3 (.800) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Tigers are just 13-5 (.722) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .862.

The Tigers are 5-15 (.250) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 1-10 (.091) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Royals are just 13-4 (.765) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .894.

The Royals are 72-7 (.911) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2025 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .873.

The Royals were 73-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning in the 2025 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .956.

Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends

Tigers hitters have drawn walks in 13% of their PA’s against LHP this season — best in MLB.

Tigers hitters have chased 23% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB.

The Tigers are batting .274 with two outs this season — best in MLB.

The Tigers are batting just .208 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB.

Royals Hitting Stats & Trends

33% of Royals hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB.

The Royals are batting just .210 on the road this season — 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals hitters are slugging .769 with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Royals hitters have an OPS of 1.305 (281 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — best in MLB.

Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .215 against Tigers pitchers with runners on base this season — 5th best in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have allowed 32 home runs this season — tied for 4th fewest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 65% of opposing batters this season — 5th highest in MLB.

Tigers pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of 63% this season — 3rd highest in MLB.

Royals Pitching Stats & Trends

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Royals pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have walked 12% of batters when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 4th highest in MLB.

Royals pitchers have a first-pitch strike rate of just 58% this season — 4th lowest in MLB.

More MLB Reading:

• Home Run Predictions Today
• Best NRFI Bets Today
• Strikeout Props Today
• MLB Starting Pitchers Today

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