- The Royals (56-83) are -125 favorites vs the Tigers (53-85)
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (1-2), 3.85 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (3-7), 4.98 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Tigers are 50-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-69 ATS.
Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Tigers | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +105 |
| Royals | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -125 |
Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
- Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
- Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 60 of his last 94 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)
Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -900 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +160 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 -130 | 0.5 -110 |
Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -300 |
| Michael A. Taylor | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -275 |
| Michael Massey | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -275 |
| Nick Pratto | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Heasley | 3.5 -140 | 3.5 +100 |
| Matt Manning | 3.5 +115 | 3.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Tigers Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – away
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- team high – home
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 60-74 against the Run Line (-24.6 Units / -14.6% ROI).
- 50-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
- 51-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.45 Units / -19.15% ROI
- 73-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 11.8% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-69 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI).
- 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
- 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.1% ROI
- 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.97% ROI
Matthew Manning: Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (9/16) against Matt Manning against right-handed batters — 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 13th Percentile.
Matt Manning has allowed an OBP of .429 (21 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .301 — ninth Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (9/21) against Matt Manning on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.
Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 57% (401/707) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Jon Heasley has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 30 PAs) this month (1 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.
Jon Heasley has struck out just 10% (2/21) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.
Jon Heasley has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (36 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.
The Tigers are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Tigers are just 24-45 (.348) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
The Royals are just 8-59 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.
The Royals are just 3-66 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Royals are just 22-67 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (3,648 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,648 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .341 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have an OPS of just .984 (2,141 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.
Royals hitters have just 598 strikeouts in 3,053 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals hitters are slugging just .393 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.
Royals hitters are slugging just .244 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Tigers pitchers this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 68% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
The Royals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (246/139) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Royals pitchers have walked 109 of 1,223 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Royals pitchers have walked 230 of 2,645 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
- Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
- Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
- Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
- Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
- Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
- Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
- Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
- Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
- Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60
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