Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 10

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 10, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Royals (56-83) are -125 favorites vs the Tigers (53-85)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Matthew Manning (1-2), 3.85 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Jonathan Heasley (3-7), 4.98 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Detroit Tigers (+105) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-125) on Saturday, September 10, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).

The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 50-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-69 ATS.

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -200O 8 -110+105
Royals -1.5 +165U 8 -110-125

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Saturday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 10 away games (+12.70 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 28 away games (+12.10 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 18 away games (+9.75 Units / 26% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 26 games at home (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 60 of his last 94 games (+12.10 Units / 9% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+10.55 Units / 18% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 26 games at home (+9.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 29 games at home (+9.55 Units / 32% ROI)

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +425 0.5 -900
MJ Melendez 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +625 0.5 -2000
Michael Massey 0.5 +550 0.5 -1200
Nick Pratto 0.5 +650 0.5 -2000

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +175 1.5 -250
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -250 0.5 +160
Michael Massey 0.5 -225 0.5 +150
Nick Pratto 0.5 -130 0.5 -110

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
MJ Melendez 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +185 0.5 -275
Michael Massey 0.5 +180 0.5 -275
Nick Pratto 0.5 +230 0.5 -350

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jon Heasley 3.5 -140 3.5 +100
Matt Manning 3.5 +115 3.5 -160
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 60-74 against the Run Line (-24.6 Units / -14.6% ROI).

  • 50-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.55 Units / -13.04% ROI
  • 51-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -28.45 Units / -19.15% ROI
  • 73-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.6 Units / 11.8% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-69 against the Run Line (-16.05 Units / -9.11% ROI).

  • 56-79 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.15 Units / -7.1% ROI
  • 67-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -2.1% ROI
  • 64-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.45 Units / -6.97% ROI

Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of 56% (9/16) against Matt Manning against right-handed batters — 14th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — 13th Percentile.

Matt Manning has allowed an OBP of .429 (21 PA’s) this month (1 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: .301 — ninth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of 43% (9/21) against Matt Manning on the first pitch of at-bats this month (1 games) — tied for 12th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 91st Percentile.

Jonathan Heasley: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Jon Heasley has a strike rate of just 57% (401/707) vs left-handed batters this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.

Jon Heasley has a strikeout rate of just 7% (2 SO in 30 PAs) this month (1 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — first Percentile.

Jon Heasley has struck out just 10% (2/21) of left-handed batters he faced this month (1 games) — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 10th Percentile.

Jon Heasley has allowed a slugging percentage of .600 (36 Total Bases / 60 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 67 total IP; League Avg: .370 — third Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Tigers are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Tigers are just 24-45 (.348) on the road this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .470.

The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals are just 8-59 (.119) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Royals are just 3-66 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Royals are just 22-67 (.247) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — tied for 9th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .296.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .322 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .598 (3,648 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .704.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,648 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .341 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .984 (2,141 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters have just 598 strikeouts in 3,053 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters are slugging just .393 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .447.

Royals hitters are slugging just .244 with two-strikes since the start of last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .269.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% against Tigers pitchers this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in 68% of their games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Tigers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

The Royals have allowed 1.77 runs per game (246/139) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.

The Royals have won just 7% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals pitchers have walked 109 of 1,223 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Royals pitchers have walked 230 of 2,645 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.