Tigers vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 11

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 11, 2022, 3:30 PM
  • The Royals (56-84) are -160 favorites vs the Tigers (54-85)
  • Tigers starting pitcher: Tyler Alexander (3-9), 5.22 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brady Singer (7-4), 3.38 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Detroit Tigers (+135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-160) on Sunday, September 11, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Royals are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+125).

The Tigers vs Royals Over/Under is 7.5 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Tigers are 52-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 65-71 ATS.

Tigers vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Tigers+1.5 -155O 7.5 -115+135
Royals -1.5 +125U 7.5 -105-160

Tigers vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s matchup with 51.0% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Tigers and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Tigers and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Tigers Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Victor Reyes has hit the Hits Over in his last 11 away games (+14.65 Units / 68% ROI)
  • Harold Castro has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 29 away games (+13.10 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 11 away games (+12.55 Units / 85% ROI)
  • Javier Baez has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 27% ROI)
  • Miguel Cabrera has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 9 away games (+10.50 Units / 74% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 28 games at home (+18.60 Units / 35% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 32 games (+12.55 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 28 games at home (+11.75 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 61 of his last 96 games (+11.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the RBIs Over in 19 of his last 31 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)

Royals vs Tigers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +375 0.5 -700
Drew Waters 0.5 +750 0.5 -2500
MJ Melendez 0.5 +475 0.5 -1100
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +525 0.5 -1200
Michael Massey 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400

Royals vs Tigers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Drew Waters 0.5 -160 0.5 +115
MJ Melendez 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 -225 0.5 +155
Michael Massey 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Royals vs Tigers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +140 0.5 -200
Drew Waters 0.5 +200 0.5 -300
MJ Melendez 0.5 +190 0.5 -275
Michael A. Taylor 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
Michael Massey 0.5 +200 0.5 -300

Royals vs Tigers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Brady Singer 5.5 -130 5.5 -110
Tyler Alexander 3.5 +120 3.5 -165
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 49 of their last 85 games (+13.85 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in their last 9 away games (+9.00 Units / 87% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 away games (+8.05 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 11 away games (+6.60 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+6.20 Units / 56% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 48 of their last 86 games (+13.85 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 33 games at home (+10.50 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 55 games at home (+8.00 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Under in 38 of their last 70 games at home (+7.60 Units / 10% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 20 of their last 36 games at home (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)

Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 62-74 against the Run Line (-22.6 Units / -13.14% ROI).

  • 52-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.35 Units / -11.33% ROI
  • 53-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -26.45 Units / -17.53% ROI
  • 73-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.5 Units / 10.25% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Tigers have gone 65-71 against the Run Line (-18.05 Units / -10.13% ROI).

  • 56-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.75 Units / -8.76% ROI
  • 69-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -0.73% ROI
  • 64-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.55 Units / -8.26% ROI

Opponents are hitting .325 (49-for-151) against Tyler Alexander’s changeup since the start of last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a miss rate of just 16% (70/445) against Tyler Alexander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.

Tyler Alexander has struck out just 11% (25/230) of right-handed batters he faced this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 0 Percentile.

Opponents are hitting .373 (44-for-118) against Tyler Alexander’s inside fastball since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: .258 — third Percentile.

Brady Singer: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Hitters have swung at 61% of Brady Singer’s pitches in the zone (1,363/2,248) since the start of last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 67% — second Percentile.

Opponents batted .391 (9-for-23) against Brady Singer — 5th highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: .231 — fifth Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 24% (124/523) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 68 total IP; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.

Opponents have a swing rate of just 23% (259/1,109) against Brady Singer on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 149 total IP; League Avg: 31% — second Percentile.

Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Tigers are 10-0 (1.000) when totaling 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .803.

The Tigers are just 6-60 (.091) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .200.

The Tigers are 28-5 (.848) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .800.

The Tigers are just 36-7 (.837) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 7th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers

The Royals are just 4-34 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.

The Royals are just 3-66 (.043) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Royals are 9-4 (.692) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Royals are just 33-40 (.452) at home this season — 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.

Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .276 (3,675 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .311.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .601 (3,675 PA’s) against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .705.

Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .606 (1,588 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .685.

Tigers hitters are slugging just .325 against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.

Royals hitters have just 599 strikeouts in 3,058 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals hitters have an OPS of just .983 (2,150 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since the start of last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.084.

Royals hitters have 39 extra-base hits out of 141 total hits (just 28%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.

The Royals have a winning percentage of just 35% on the road this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.

Tigers pitchers have walked 111 of 1,216 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

The Tigers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 60% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers since the start of last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Tigers pitchers this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Royals pitchers have walked 111 of 1,231 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.

Royals pitchers have walked 1,108 of 11,554 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 16% with runners in scoring position this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.

Royals vs. Tigers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Joshua Staumont (Royals): Bicep, D15
  • Taylor Clarke (Royals): Oblique, D15
  • Angel Zerpa (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Edward Olivares (Royals): Quad, D60
  • Casey Mize (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Jacob Rogers (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Rony García (Tigers): Bicep, D60
  • Jose Cabrera (Tigers): Biceps, D10
  • Tarik Skubal (Tigers): Arm, D60
  • Spencer Turnbull (Tigers): Elbow, D60
  • Austin Meadows (Tigers): Mental Health, D60
  • Beau Brieske (Tigers): Forearm, D60
  • Kyle Funkhouser (Tigers): Shoulder, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.